inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 97 Excitement4.5 [557] MVPJason Williams (SAC): +10.1%
Sacramento Kings 119 Comeback1.5 [623] LVPAntonio McDyess (DEN): -12.0%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Fortson0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.01-0.01-0.031150%0.0200.00667%-0.02
Kelly McCarty0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Johnny Taylor-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0520%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Loren Meyer-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.04425%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Eric Washington-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.000.041156%-0.0200.00580%0.01
Cory Alexander-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.03833%-0.031-0.012100%0.00
Bryant Stith-0.050,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.04729%-0.032-0.0200%0.00
Eric Williams-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.03-0.011447%0.002-0.0520%-0.02
Nick Van Exel-0.090,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.030.001738%-0.081-0.0100%0.00
Antonio McDyess-0.120,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.04-0.040.042452%-0.063-0.06862%-0.03

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Williams0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.02-0.021562%0.132-0.032100%0.01
Corliss Williamson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.11-0.010.011869%0.142-0.06683%0.02
Chris Webber0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.010.001760%0.0800.00667%-0.01
Lawrence Funderburke0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.110.000.09794%0.031-0.012100%0.00
Jerome James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01150%0.0000.002100%0.00
Scot Pollard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Michael Hawkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jon Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Vlade Divac0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.00557%0.012-0.03450%-0.02
Vernon Maxwell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.000.02350%-0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Peja Stojakovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.010.0020%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.021647%-0.003-0.07475%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.62.328.415.423.01.830.9125.4
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +47.0%
SAC +2.1%
SAC +4.8%
DEN -7.7%
SAC +3.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENSACNBADENSACNBA
this game15.014.215.898.0121.499.6
season15.514.1100.7100.1
opponent15.515.6100.9107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.216.114.815.115.0
SAC12.015.212.817.614.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cory Alexander49490.03-0.530.560.001-232415.814.21.6214.214.3-0.06
Kelly McCarty440.00-0.500.500.000-222214.015.0-1.0412.214.3-2.07
Loren Meyer1413-0.05-0.450.390.12-6-161012.815.4-2.5816.513.92.57
Johnny Taylor2423-0.09-0.410.330.03-4-181416.214.61.5416.313.62.70
Bryant Stith4342-0.19-0.310.130.14-11-11014.015.8-1.7713.714.6-0.91
Eric Williams5656-0.33-0.17-0.170.02-12-10-216.013.72.3814.713.70.99
Danny Fortson7272-0.36-0.14-0.230.05-14-8-614.815.4-0.5613.017.6-4.60
Antonio McDyess8888-0.47-0.03-0.440.09-19-3-1615.015.1-0.1014.313.31.04
Nick Van Exel8078-0.47-0.03-0.450.02-17-5-1214.317.9-3.5814.114.8-0.71
Eric Washington6565-0.560.06-0.610.26-286-3415.314.40.8514.613.60.95

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Corliss Williamson87870.73-0.230.97-0.1731-94014.412.71.7015.114.20.95
Chris Webber87880.68-0.180.86-0.1729-73614.016.2-2.1915.114.50.61
Tariq Abdul-Wahad72720.58-0.080.66-0.032112014.314.20.1114.117.3-3.21
Jason Williams88890.58-0.080.66-0.2127-53213.917.1-3.1914.915.8-0.89
Vlade Divac70700.380.120.260.091012-213.615.8-2.2214.616.0-1.46
Scot Pollard12130.070.43-0.37-0.02319-1612.714.4-1.6915.914.91.06
Jerome James440.000.50-0.500.00022-2212.214.3-2.0714.015.0-1.04
Michael Hawkins440.000.50-0.500.00022-2212.214.3-2.0714.015.0-1.04
Jon Barry1010-0.080.58-0.660.07-527-3217.113.93.1915.814.90.89
Vernon Maxwell2223-0.080.58-0.66-0.11121-2014.514.20.3417.914.13.79
Lawrence Funderburke2222-0.110.61-0.73-0.17220-1818.313.15.2716.414.61.81
Peja Stojakovic1213-0.250.75-0.990.02-931-4013.014.4-1.4113.115.3-2.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOP 106, DEN 1220.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%
MIA 91, GSW 1010.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
SAC 93, PHX 1140.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%