NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	78		Excitement	4.9 [504]		MVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): +11.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	96		Comeback	3.2 [363]		LVP	Vince Carter (TOR): -13.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	5	57%	0.05	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Reggie Slater	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
John Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	55%	-0.01	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Tracy McGrady	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	0.03	-0.04	4	42%	0.02	4	-0.06	4	0%	-0.05
Dee Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	8	37%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.05
Doug Christie	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.00	0.09	14	59%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Vince Carter	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.18	-0.01	-0.06	14	33%	-0.09	3	-0.04	8	75%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.10	-0.00	7	64%	0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.05	0.04	9	79%	0.14	1	-0.03	10	100%	0.03
Rick Mahorn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerald Honeycutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.12	0.01	-0.07	25	38%	0.00	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	16	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	7	54%	-0.02	2	-0.04	14	64%	-0.02
Harvey Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	4	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	38.8	15.8	26.0	1.8	32.2	142.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +23.4%

PHI +2.0%

PHI +17.9%

PHI +6.4%

PHI +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	15.0	15.2	15.8	82.1	100.0	99.6
season	15.6	15.6		99.0	97.0
opponent	15.9	15.9		94.8	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.2	12.7	19.4	15.0	15.0
PHI	16.8	15.0	13.3	15.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Stewart	14	13	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-18	18	12.3	15.4	-3.13	12.0	15.7	-3.70
Kevin Willis	66	67	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.09	-5	-13	8	14.5	15.9	-1.40	15.7	14.0	1.77
Reggie Slater	8	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-17	16	16.1	14.9	1.27	19.2	14.8	4.42
Tracy McGrady	32	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.09	-8	-10	2	16.3	14.3	2.00	14.3	15.6	-1.39
Alvin Williams	36	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.13	-12	-6	-6	15.9	14.4	1.45	15.9	14.8	1.09
John Wallace	30	31	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	-13	8	13.4	15.7	-2.33	13.9	15.8	-1.86
Dee Brown	52	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-11	4	14.6	15.4	-0.76	14.4	16.3	-1.89
Vince Carter	68	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	-5	-8	15.3	14.2	1.08	15.5	14.6	0.88
Doug Christie	82	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	-3	-12	14.0	20.7	-6.64	15.4	13.5	1.94
John Thomas	30	29	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.07	-13	-5	-8	16.2	14.4	1.77	13.0	16.1	-3.10

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	89	87	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.09	24	-6	30	15.1	16.3	-1.17	15.1	13.5	1.59
Larry Hughes	40	39	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.04	18	0	18	12.8	16.9	-4.03	16.6	13.8	2.86
Aaron McKie	44	42	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.02	18	0	18	13.4	16.7	-3.30	16.0	14.1	1.95
Harvey Grant	48	48	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.01	15	3	12	16.0	14.4	1.60	14.1	15.8	-1.73
Rick Mahorn	23	23	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	11	-4	15.0	15.2	-0.20	13.4	15.5	-2.07
Matt Geiger	74	74	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.22	14	4	10	15.3	15.0	0.32	15.7	12.3	3.43
Theo Ratliff	73	73	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.02	5	13	-8	15.6	13.9	1.69	15.2	14.2	0.95
Nazr Mohammed	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	16.7	15.2	1.52	10.3	15.1	-4.78
Doug Overton	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	14.4	15.2	-0.84	9.8	15.2	-5.44
Eric Snow	63	63	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.13	-1	19	-20	16.6	12.5	4.18	14.7	15.5	-0.82
Jerald Honeycutt	18	18	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.09	-9	27	-36	16.3	14.9	1.33	11.6	15.8	-4.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.78,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 101, DAL 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
GSW 91, MEM 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.8%
ATL 102, MIA 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.34,0.44,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1	92.6%