inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 91 Excitement5.0 [851] MVPTony Allen (MEM): +13.3%
Memphis Grizzlies 110 Comeback3.9 [725] LVPStephen Curry (GSW): -22.0%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dorell Wright0.130,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.050.03-0.041552%0.1300.001100%0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.090.00-0.01692%0.131-0.0300%0.00
Al Thornton0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.000.023100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Lou Amundson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.00-0.03650%0.0410.01250%-0.02
Monta Ellis0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.020.011453%0.061-0.02250%-0.02
Jeremy Lin0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.02580%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Jeff Adrien0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.000.01546%-0.0100.00367%-0.00
Ekpe Udoh-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.01337%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
David Lee-0.060,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.020.041060%0.043-0.1000%0.00
Stephen Curry-0.220,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.25-0.04-0.071421%-0.086-0.141100%0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Allen0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.070.05-0.011758%0.131-0.00250%0.00
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.120.040.041367%0.1300.00450%-0.01
Zach Randolph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.150.020.041177%0.161-0.034100%0.01
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.020.04-0.041846%0.1000.001100%0.00
Greivis Vasquez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.001100%0.0400.002100%0.01
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.01567%0.041-0.0220%-0.05
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.01333%0.0200.0000%0.00
Leon Powe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.000.00450%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Sam Young0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.010.011050%0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Hamed Haddadi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ish Smith00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.12.524.316.624.52.427.5120.9
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +21.9%
MEM +1.8%
MEM +4.4%
MEM +19.9%
MEM +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWMEMNBAGSWMEMNBA
this game16.016.415.5101.1125.0105.7
season14.815.5106.6106.1
opponent15.515.2103.7109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW15.518.815.714.416.0
MEM16.517.214.317.516.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Reggie Williams31290.15-0.650.800.150-191918.114.93.2518.215.42.80
Vladimir Radmanovic24230.08-0.580.660.080-191918.615.13.5217.715.91.80
Al Thornton30280.08-0.580.660.080-191918.015.03.0018.015.62.45
Jeremy Lin29290.02-0.520.53-0.042-212317.715.22.5416.916.10.74
Jeff Adrien440.00-0.500.500.09-3-161315.716.0-0.2618.216.31.98
Ekpe Udoh5048-0.14-0.360.230.10-8-11315.816.2-0.4016.016.7-0.71
Lou Amundson3838-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.13-8-11316.116.00.0916.416.30.05
Stephen Curry6159-0.520.02-0.530.10-212-2315.217.7-2.5416.116.9-0.74
Dorell Wright6060-0.580.08-0.66-0.02-190-1915.018.0-3.0015.618.0-2.45
David Lee6463-0.580.08-0.66-0.02-190-1915.218.1-2.9216.017.3-1.34
Monta Ellis5959-0.650.15-0.80-0.09-190-1914.918.1-3.2515.418.2-2.80

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Allen66670.61-0.110.71-0.1024-52916.217.0-0.8515.118.7-3.62
Mike Conley70710.57-0.070.64-0.0722-32516.217.1-0.8715.318.5-3.14
Zach Randolph62620.460.040.43-0.061811716.316.5-0.1415.117.9-2.80
Marc Gasol50530.440.060.380.03145915.417.6-2.1415.516.6-1.10
Shane Battier46470.350.150.21-0.03136716.915.81.1116.016.00.04
Darrell Arthur43440.260.240.01-0.04109117.015.71.2916.615.41.25
Sam Young46470.150.35-0.21-0.12910-116.016.8-0.7616.016.0-0.09
Hamed Haddadi220.000.50-0.500.00019-1913.016.4-3.4412.016.1-4.09
Ish Smith220.000.50-0.500.00019-1913.016.4-3.4412.016.1-4.09
Greivis Vasquez1819-0.070.57-0.640.02-322-2517.116.20.8718.515.33.14
O.J. Mayo2021-0.110.61-0.710.04-524-2917.416.11.3419.315.04.35
Leon Powe1515-0.160.66-0.820.04-726-3317.716.11.5719.915.24.72


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 89, TOR 1030.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.38,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.75,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,193.7%
GSW 95, DAL 1010.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,193.6%
MIL 98, POR 1100.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.27,0.3,0.19,0.29,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,193.5%