NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	89		Excitement	5.4 [762]		MVP	Anthony Parker (TOR): +33.7%
Toronto Raptors	103		Comeback	4.0 [374]		LVP	T.J. Ford (TOR): -16.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrus Thomas	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	6	64%	0.09	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	20	57%	0.15	5	-0.13	7	86%	0.05
Andres Nocioni	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	31%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.07
Ben Wallace	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Luol Deng	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	13	41%	-0.02	4	-0.09	6	50%	-0.02
Kirk Hinrich	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	0.00	0.01	16	36%	-0.06	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.06

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Parker	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.26	0.10	0.02	12	93%	0.34	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.02
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	13	59%	0.14	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	14	52%	0.09	1	-0.02	14	86%	0.06
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Uros Slokar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	16	49%	0.04	3	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.05	8	17%	-0.06	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.3	34.4	19.4	31.4	2.7	29.2	143.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +22.2%

TOR +18.9%

CHI -4.6%

TOR +11.1%

TOR +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	TOR	NBA	CHI	TOR	NBA
this game	14.1	14.5	15.4	89.0	102.0	104.5
season	14.5	15.2		103.1	104.7
opponent	15.4	15.9		104.1	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.0	13.8	14.9	12.8	14.1
TOR	17.8	12.9	11.2	17.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	51	51	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.13	-2	-12	10	15.0	13.2	1.86	14.8	14.3	0.52
Malik Allen	16	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-16	18	10.9	14.7	-3.88	18.4	13.7	4.67
Adrian Griffin	16	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.08	2	-16	18	10.9	14.7	-3.88	18.2	13.7	4.43
Tyrus Thomas	40	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.46	12	-26	38	14.0	14.2	-0.22	14.2	14.7	-0.49
Kirk Hinrich	82	81	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-8	2	14.4	12.8	1.65	14.6	14.0	0.59
Ben Wallace	48	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	0	-14	15.2	13.2	1.99	13.2	15.8	-2.64
Andres Nocioni	19	18	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	-1	-12	14.6	14.0	0.62	12.1	15.1	-3.00
Thabo Sefolosha	43	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.36	1	-15	16	13.1	14.9	-1.86	13.4	15.4	-2.00
Chris Duhon	29	29	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	-6	-2	14.3	14.0	0.30	13.9	14.8	-0.93
Luol Deng	72	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.19	-23	9	-32	14.6	12.8	1.82	15.1	13.3	1.73
Ben Gordon	84	85	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.13	-21	7	-28	13.9	15.2	-1.33	14.5	14.5	0.03

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	79	79	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.07	23	-9	32	15.0	13.0	2.01	14.3	13.5	0.83
Joey Graham	80	76	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.07	17	-3	20	14.8	13.3	1.50	14.0	14.6	-0.60
Kris Humphries	36	36	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.10	8	6	2	14.4	14.6	-0.21	14.2	14.1	0.06
Jose Calderon	32	34	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	5	4	14.4	14.6	-0.22	14.0	14.2	-0.24
Rasho Nesterovic	40	41	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.11	13	1	12	13.8	15.0	-1.20	15.4	13.3	2.09
Juan Dixon	64	63	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	13	-12	14.9	13.9	0.96	13.1	15.9	-2.80
T.J. Ford	66	64	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.08	9	5	4	14.7	14.1	0.58	14.5	13.5	0.98
Chris Bosh	81	81	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.08	5	9	-4	14.4	15.1	-0.78	14.4	13.1	1.27
Luke Jackson	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	18	-22	11.7	14.6	-2.95	5.5	14.3	-8.81
Darrick Martin	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	18	-22	11.7	14.6	-2.95	5.5	14.3	-8.81
Uros Slokar	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	18	-22	11.7	14.6	-2.95	5.5	14.3	-8.81
Morris Peterson	18	20	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	17	-20	13.5	14.7	-1.25	15.4	13.8	1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.38,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.75,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 91, MEM 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%
DET 101, NJN 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	92.8%
GSW 95, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.7%