NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	95		Excitement	5.5 [704]		MVP	Hubert Davis (DAL): +10.8%
Dallas Mavericks	101		Comeback	2.3 [869]		LVP	Mookie Blaylock (GSW): -18.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bob Sura	0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.02	17	74%	0.16	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Marc Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.13	-0.02	0.06	17	73%	0.12	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Paul McPherson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	15	47%	0.00	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Vonteego Cummings	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	7	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.01	0.03	4	58%	-0.03	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Corie Blount	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.06	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.04	0.01	13	15%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.04	0.07	9	83%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	7	83%	0.16	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Howard Eisley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.04	-0.02	19	53%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	9	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.00	5	46%	0.03	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	-0.05	13	25%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	17	53%	0.00	4	-0.10	9	89%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	25.4	16.3	24.5	2.3	33.7	127.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +29.3%

DAL +2.6%

GSW -0.2%

DAL +16.9%

DAL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	DAL	NBA	GSW	DAL	NBA
this game	14.5	14.6	15.5	96.9	101.0	100.9
season	15.0	15.2		95.3	104.6
opponent	15.3	14.9		101.2	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.2	16.9	14.0	13.0	14.5
DAL	14.0	14.4	13.7	16.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adam Keefe	7	8	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-9	12	16.3	14.4	1.93	17.2	14.4	2.88
Paul McPherson	3	2	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.02	-2	-4	2	18.3	14.4	3.96	10.0	14.7	-4.69
Adonal Foyle	51	52	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-6	6	13.6	15.5	-1.88	14.2	15.0	-0.85
Corie Blount	36	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.04	-5	-1	-4	14.1	14.7	-0.55	15.3	14.2	1.05
Vonteego Cummings	35	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.38	4	-10	14	14.3	14.6	-0.27	14.9	14.4	0.56
Chris Mullin	22	24	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	1	-8	19.1	13.2	5.93	14.7	14.6	0.09
Mookie Blaylock	67	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.18	-18	12	-30	14.2	15.0	-0.79	14.7	14.4	0.29
Marc Jackson	89	93	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.46	4	-10	14	14.4	15.7	-1.30	14.5	15.4	-0.89
Bob Sura	87	88	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	-3	0	14.3	15.8	-1.50	14.4	16.3	-1.97
Antawn Jamison	93	94	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.31	-6	0	-6	14.3	18.2	-3.91	14.5	16.2	-1.67

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	40	36	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-7	20	13.7	15.2	-1.46	16.3	13.4	2.91
Dirk Nowitzki	92	90	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	-2	10	14.3	17.6	-3.29	14.1	19.2	-5.18
Hubert Davis	60	59	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.37	4	2	2	14.4	14.8	-0.37	15.0	13.8	1.20
Christian Laettner	66	67	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.18	8	-2	10	14.2	15.5	-1.32	14.4	14.6	-0.18
Howard Eisley	94	91	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.36	1	5	-4	14.6	14.7	-0.07	14.5	15.0	-0.55
Michael Finley	75	75	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.25	-3	9	-12	15.2	12.8	2.40	13.4	17.9	-4.47
Shawn Bradley	39	40	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	2	2	16.0	13.7	2.30	15.2	14.0	1.24
Gary Trent	34	32	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	11	-16	14.6	14.6	-0.06	14.5	14.5	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 95, CHI 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.1%
DET 101, NJN 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	93.8%
GSW 91, MEM 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%