NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	101		Excitement	5.8 [635]		MVP	Jon Barry (DEN): +17.7%
Dallas Mavericks	115		Comeback	2.5 [699]		LVP	Voshon Lenard (DEN): -11.5%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.04	0.01	10	87%	0.20	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	18	52%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Earl Boykins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	69%	0.09	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	42%	-0.00	2	-0.07	2	50%	0.00
Francisco Elson	-0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	9	32%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	18	41%	0.00	3	-0.08	3	67%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	5	43%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Voshon Lenard	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	21	34%	-0.09	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.01	16	67%	0.14	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	18	68%	0.17	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	15	49%	0.06	0	0.00	9	89%	0.03
Michael Finley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	12	50%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	10	75%	0.09	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	29%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	524.8	2.4	28.1	16.8	25.2	2.5	29.6	629.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +36.3%

DAL +5.4%

DEN -8.5%

DAL +19.2%

DEN -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	DAL	NBA	DEN	DAL	NBA
this game	15.4	13.6	15.7	102.0	116.2	100.5
season	14.9	14.6		101.6	109.2
opponent	15.6	15.4		105.0	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	16.1	14.4	16.8	14.4	15.4
DAL	13.9	14.4	11.3	15.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Andersen	36	35	0.28	-0.78	1.05	-0.16	15	-29	44	13.0	16.8	-3.80	14.3	13.3	0.99
Voshon Lenard	60	61	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.13	-5	-9	4	15.8	14.9	0.86	13.4	14.0	-0.57
Andre Miller	67	68	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.06	-3	-11	8	15.8	14.7	1.03	13.6	13.8	-0.28
Ryan Bowen	14	13	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-16	18	14.2	15.6	-1.43	15.4	13.4	2.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	27	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-12	10	12.7	16.5	-3.82	14.4	13.4	0.95
Carmelo Anthony	82	83	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.03	-17	3	-20	15.9	13.2	2.67	13.4	15.1	-1.69
Earl Boykins	32	31	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.15	-11	-3	-8	14.7	15.8	-1.03	13.8	13.6	0.28
Francisco Elson	51	53	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.11	-21	7	-28	17.4	13.3	4.10	12.9	14.5	-1.55
Jon Barry	54	54	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.19	-11	-3	-8	14.5	16.6	-2.16	14.3	12.8	1.47
Marcus Camby	72	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.05	-17	3	-20	16.5	12.7	3.72	13.3	14.6	-1.25

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	82	80	0.69	-0.19	0.88	-0.05	25	-11	36	13.2	15.9	-2.70	16.4	11.2	5.24
Michael Finley	70	69	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.06	22	-8	30	13.5	14.1	-0.60	16.3	13.4	2.93
Dirk Nowitzki	80	81	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.05	18	-4	22	13.8	12.9	0.93	15.4	15.7	-0.34
Antawn Jamison	70	71	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	1	12	13.7	13.6	0.09	15.0	16.6	-1.62
Travis Best	36	37	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.22	7	7	0	14.0	13.5	0.51	13.5	16.6	-3.13
Steve Nash	72	70	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.10	8	6	2	13.2	14.8	-1.61	16.4	13.2	3.12
Marquis Daniels	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	13.7	13.6	0.02	8.7	15.7	-6.99
Eduardo Najera	35	33	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	13	-12	13.4	13.8	-0.34	15.5	15.4	0.11
Tony Delk	17	17	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	18	-22	13.8	13.6	0.14	15.6	15.4	0.17
Josh Howard	30	34	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	0.21	-19	33	-52	15.6	12.8	2.85	13.1	16.7	-3.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 78, PHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.78,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
CHI 104, MIN 122	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.52,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.85,0.85,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
GSW 95, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%