NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	102		Excitement	5.4 [770]		MVP	Rasual Butler (MIA): +11.1%
Miami Heat	116		Comeback	2.2 [765]		LVP	Udonis Haslem (MIA): -8.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	5	81%	0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Tony Delk	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	12	67%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	12	67%	0.13	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	9	68%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Josh Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.01	-0.03	6	57%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Willis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Royal Ivey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Josh Childress	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.03	18	38%	-0.04	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Al Harrington	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	9	47%	0.03	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	6	64%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	14	74%	0.16	2	-0.05	14	79%	-0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	4	100%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	9	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	19	56%	0.09	5	-0.14	10	70%	-0.03
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	9	44%	-0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.8	35.2	16.3	27.4	1.7	36.3	143.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +15.1%

MIA +17.0%

MIA +17.3%

MIA +0.5%

MIA +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIA	NBA	ATL	MIA	NBA
this game	15.4	16.3	15.5	112.1	127.5	104.0
season	15.6	15.7		98.1	107.9
opponent	15.5	15.1		101.1	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.8	13.1	16.1	16.5	15.4
MIA	16.2	17.6	14.5	17.0	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Predrag Drobnjak	49	48	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.04	4	-18	22	15.2	15.5	-0.28	16.1	16.5	-0.41
Josh Smith	48	44	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	-13	12	15.5	15.1	0.40	15.7	16.8	-1.10
Kevin Willis	10	9	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-16	18	12.7	15.7	-2.98	15.2	16.4	-1.19
Royal Ivey	32	32	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.05	-3	-11	8	16.6	14.7	1.87	15.6	16.7	-1.04
Tyronn Lue	37	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-13	12	14.8	15.7	-0.96	16.6	16.1	0.55
Al Harrington	78	77	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-9	4	15.4	15.2	0.14	16.7	14.3	2.38
Kenny Anderson	23	23	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-4	-6	14.7	15.6	-0.88	16.3	16.3	0.07
Josh Childress	35	36	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.06	-12	-2	-10	15.4	15.3	0.12	16.2	16.3	-0.08
Antoine Walker	74	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	-3	-8	15.6	14.2	1.45	16.0	17.6	-1.56
Tony Delk	39	41	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	-1	-12	14.9	15.7	-0.84	17.2	15.6	1.59
Jason Collier	30	32	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.07	-20	6	-26	15.9	15.1	0.77	16.6	16.1	0.46

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasual Butler	46	45	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.35	6	8	-2	17.1	15.5	1.55	15.3	15.4	-0.08
Michael Doleac	29	30	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	3	8	16.4	16.3	0.12	15.2	15.4	-0.18
Damon Jones	63	63	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.10	18	-4	22	15.3	18.5	-3.23	15.3	15.5	-0.27
Dwyane Wade	77	78	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	-1	16	16.3	16.4	-0.16	15.5	14.6	0.86
Udonis Haslem	63	64	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	6	2	16.0	17.0	-0.96	15.4	15.3	0.13
Christian Laettner	28	27	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	8	-2	17.0	16.0	0.96	15.3	15.4	-0.13
Keyon Dooling	30	30	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.16	-3	17	-20	18.1	15.4	2.64	15.6	15.2	0.32
Shaquille O'Neal	62	61	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	11	-8	16.3	16.4	-0.12	15.4	15.2	0.18
Eddie Jones	57	57	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.12	6	8	-2	15.9	17.0	-1.12	15.2	15.6	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.34,0.44,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 89, SAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.56,0.52,0.72,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.85,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	94.7%
NOH 86, POR 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.51,0.6,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
SAC 93, TOR 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.2%