NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	89		Excitement	5.8 [667]		MVP	Tyreke Evans (NOP): +17.6%
Sacramento Kings	96		Comeback	2.4 [635]		LVP	Austin Rivers (NOP): -14.3%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyreke Evans	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.08	0.05	14	71%	0.25	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.02
Eric Gordon	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	9	56%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Greg Stiemsma	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.02	13	54%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	9	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	14	36%	-0.08	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.06
Austin Rivers	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	9	25%	-0.11	1	-0.04	6	33%	-0.09

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray McCallum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.07	-0.02	7	53%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.02	7	62%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	16	58%	0.17	5	-0.12	6	100%	0.04
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.04	4	83%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.05	13	55%	0.16	6	-0.15	16	81%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	10	58%	0.10	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Orlando Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.05
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.3	30.3	14.8	29.1	2.5	35.2	135.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +21.3%

SAC +24.8%

SAC +32.7%

NOP -27.9%

NOP -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	SAC	NBA	NOP	SAC	NBA
this game	16.5	16.4	15.1	101.1	110.3	105.2
season	15.5	15.4		105.6	104.5
opponent	14.7	15.3		107.1	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	17.2	18.1	16.5	14.3	16.5
SAC	13.3	17.9	16.2	18.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Stiemsma	35	35	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.12	9	-16	25	15.5	17.2	-1.67	18.4	15.1	3.31
Eric Gordon	44	46	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-8	9	17.7	15.3	2.36	15.2	17.7	-2.44
Al-Farouq Aminu	20	19	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-8	9	12.8	17.6	-4.75	21.1	15.1	6.03
Alexis Ajinca	38	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	-2	-3	17.9	15.5	2.37	14.2	18.1	-3.87
Brian Roberts	66	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-4	1	17.7	13.0	4.76	15.7	18.4	-2.78
Jeff Withey	34	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-2	-3	14.7	17.7	-3.01	18.6	15.0	3.57
Austin Rivers	34	33	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	0	-7	15.0	17.5	-2.53	16.9	16.1	0.79
Tyreke Evans	75	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.19	-6	-1	-5	17.1	13.1	4.04	15.6	21.2	-5.60
Anthony Morrow	25	25	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.20	-7	0	-7	14.6	17.3	-2.74	18.6	15.5	3.16
Anthony Davis	69	68	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.23	-13	6	-19	17.2	14.1	3.15	15.5	19.5	-4.01

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	55	56	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.16	16	-9	25	15.5	17.9	-2.45	17.5	14.7	2.79
Isaiah Thomas	78	80	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-5	17	15.7	22.4	-6.75	16.6	16.1	0.44
Ray McCallum	40	40	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.34	7	0	7	18.3	14.7	3.58	14.9	17.9	-2.98
Reggie Evans	54	53	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.28	3	4	-1	18.1	13.7	4.39	15.6	17.9	-2.36
DeMarcus Cousins	51	52	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	5	-3	15.3	17.9	-2.60	16.5	16.5	0.04
Jason Thompson	45	46	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.03	8	-1	9	13.9	19.1	-5.18	19.4	13.4	5.96
Quincy Acy	24	25	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.16	1	6	-5	19.6	15.2	4.47	13.2	17.8	-4.59
Orlando Johnson	10	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	10	-13	23.3	15.5	7.81	14.5	16.8	-2.28
Ben McLemore	53	54	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	12	-17	14.8	18.9	-4.19	17.4	15.1	2.34
Derrick Williams	25	24	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	13	-19	18.2	15.7	2.48	15.5	16.9	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.56,0.52,0.72,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.85,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 102, MIA 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.34,0.44,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1	94.7%
MIL 87, PHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.98,0.94,0.9,0.99,1	93.5%
ORL 86, MIL 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.35,0.34,0.46,0.44,0.57,0.52,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%