NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	89		Excitement	3.7 [651]		MVP	Ron Mercer (BOS): +11.2%
Boston Celtics	103		Comeback	1.0 [380]		LVP	Wesley Person (CLE): -7.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Kemp	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	9	82%	0.13	4	-0.07	10	90%	0.03
Andrew DeClercq	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	56%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Bob Sura	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	70%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	56%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Butler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	9	50%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Johnny Newman	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	9	40%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	11	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	8	19%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ron Mercer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.03	-0.05	21	51%	0.11	0	0.00	5	60%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	16	62%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.01	0.05	11	77%	0.10	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.03
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	9	76%	0.08	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Greg Minor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	22%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Dwayne Schintzius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	28.5	15.4	26.6	1.7	27.4	126.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +32.8%

BOS +8.3%

CLE -1.6%

BOS +8.8%

BOS +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	16.9	15.5	15.8	100.0	115.7	99.6
season	16.3	15.0		97.3	98.1
opponent	15.8	16.2		100.0	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.4	16.0	18.2	16.9	16.9
BOS	16.3	15.3	15.2	15.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corie Blount	27	27	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.31	11	-25	36	15.4	17.5	-2.02	15.6	15.4	0.21
Earl Boykins	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-19	24	11.2	17.1	-5.87	21.0	15.2	5.85
Mitchell Butler	10	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.22	7	-21	28	16.8	16.9	-0.06	17.9	15.1	2.81
Cedric Henderson	54	53	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-17	20	17.4	16.1	1.31	16.2	14.5	1.65
Danny Ferry	45	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.30	6	-20	26	14.9	18.8	-3.93	15.4	15.6	-0.26
Bob Sura	29	30	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-12	10	17.0	16.8	0.22	15.0	15.7	-0.78
Derek Anderson	30	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	-8	2	16.5	17.0	-0.48	13.8	16.3	-2.48
Brevin Knight	58	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-6	-2	16.5	17.5	-0.92	15.8	14.9	0.95
Wesley Person	51	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.18	-19	5	-24	17.3	16.2	1.12	15.8	15.1	0.66
Andrew DeClercq	35	35	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.19	-20	6	-26	18.1	16.1	2.03	15.3	15.6	-0.28
Johnny Newman	42	42	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.27	-24	10	-34	17.8	16.0	1.76	14.3	16.6	-2.31
Shawn Kemp	60	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.20	-23	9	-32	17.5	15.6	1.93	15.4	15.6	-0.20

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Mercer	86	86	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.02	17	-3	20	15.4	17.0	-1.57	17.1	10.3	6.75
Dana Barros	89	89	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.09	14	0	14	15.5	0.0	15.48	16.9	0.0	16.85
Antoine Walker	88	87	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.03	16	-2	18	15.4	19.0	-3.56	17.0	10.0	7.01
Paul Pierce	48	48	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.07	19	-5	24	16.1	14.8	1.35	18.0	15.5	2.44
Vitaly Potapenko	45	47	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.09	19	-5	24	15.4	15.6	-0.17	17.4	16.2	1.26
Tony Battie	38	38	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.20	-3	17	-20	16.0	15.1	0.90	16.2	17.3	-1.12
Greg Minor	44	44	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	22	-30	14.9	16.0	-1.14	15.2	18.5	-3.31
Dwayne Schintzius	7	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	18	-22	13.7	15.6	-1.92	14.0	17.1	-3.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.92,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 86, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.7%
NJN 77, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.68,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
MIA 70, SAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%