NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	86		Excitement	3.7 [1062]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +31.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	101		Comeback	1.1 [912]		LVP	Dante Exum (UTA): -13.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.01	0.04	6	87%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	12	54%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	40%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Trey Lyles	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.03	0.05	14	58%	0.03	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
Rodney Hood	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	11	39%	-0.02	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.01	-0.00	4	10%	-0.07	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.43	0.02	0.14	34	70%	0.32	0	0.00	16	87%	0.03
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	7	86%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Quarterman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	8	12%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.15	0.01	-0.05	20	22%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.5	29.4	14.7	25.3	2.4	28.6	131.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +19.6%

POR +3.7%

POR +0.9%

POR +26.6%

UTA -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	15.7	16.6	14.8	97.7	112.2	107.7
season	16.1	14.9		108.0	108.6
opponent	14.5	15.0		109.8	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.7	15.7	17.1	13.3	15.7
POR	14.6	14.9	18.0	19.4	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raul Neto	22	24	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.24	14	-29	43	15.6	15.7	-0.15	17.7	16.2	1.51
Jeff Withey	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	11.0	16.0	-5.05	19.3	16.4	2.86
Trey Lyles	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-15	15	10.6	16.4	-5.79	19.8	16.2	3.68
Alec Burks	19	20	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-17	19	11.6	16.8	-5.19	20.0	15.7	4.38
Dante Exum	29	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	-6	-3	18.6	14.3	4.30	12.7	18.2	-5.50
Rudy Gobert	56	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-14	13	15.7	15.7	0.03	16.8	16.3	0.54
Joe Johnson	44	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-10	5	16.3	15.1	1.14	15.4	17.9	-2.52
Rodney Hood	41	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	-12	9	15.3	16.1	-0.82	15.8	17.4	-1.57
Boris Diaw	33	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-5	-5	16.6	15.1	1.49	17.2	16.3	0.89
Derrick Favors	26	26	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-3	-9	16.8	15.3	1.51	15.5	17.1	-1.61
Joe Ingles	48	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	0	-15	17.3	13.8	3.49	16.6	16.7	-0.04
Gordon Hayward	56	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	1	-17	15.6	15.9	-0.27	16.7	16.5	0.25
Shelvin Mack	49	51	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.05	-18	3	-21	14.6	17.2	-2.60	17.4	15.7	1.73

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	78	77	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.03	19	-4	23	16.9	15.1	1.80	15.5	17.1	-1.58
Meyers Leonard	55	55	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.10	20	-5	25	17.4	15.5	1.94	15.1	16.7	-1.59
CJ McCollum	65	63	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.11	18	-3	21	16.7	16.5	0.17	15.9	15.2	0.70
Al-Farouq Aminu	59	57	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.06	11	4	7	15.8	18.2	-2.31	15.7	15.8	-0.11
Noah Vonleh	58	55	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	6	3	16.5	16.9	-0.41	17.2	13.2	3.94
Maurice Harkless	68	67	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.04	7	8	-1	17.1	15.2	1.88	15.8	15.5	0.30
Pat Connaughton	15	14	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	16	-17	16.3	16.7	-0.37	14.4	16.0	-1.60
Evan Turner	45	46	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.16	-4	19	-23	15.4	17.8	-2.40	16.1	15.3	0.85
Jake Layman	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	19.3	16.6	2.78	7.7	16.0	-8.32
Tim Quarterman	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	20.0	16.6	3.39	0.0	15.7	-15.70
Shabazz Napier	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	19.3	16.6	2.78	7.7	16.0	-8.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 81, ORL 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
CLE 89, BOS 103	0.5,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.92,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
IND 97, DAL 118	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%