inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 81 Excitement3.9 [1029] MVPJameer Nelson (ORL): +25.0%
Orlando Magic 113 Comeback1.0 [1277] LVPAndris Biedrins (GSW): -13.3%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Morrow0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.02-0.021059%0.081-0.002100%0.00
Anthony Randolph0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.00-0.01855%0.031-0.00475%0.01
Brandan Wright0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.00-0.05425%0.0200.0000%0.00
Kelenna Azubuike0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.010.00750%0.0100.002100%0.01
DeMarcus Nelson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.0610%0.0010.0020%0.00
Marcus Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01462%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ronny Turiaf-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00125%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Rob Kurz-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.140.00-0.10614%-0.023-0.022100%0.00
CJ Watson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.04725%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
Jamal Crawford-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.03-0.022141%0.013-0.05250%-0.01
Marco Belinelli-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.020.001340%-0.032-0.054100%0.02
Andris Biedrins-0.130,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.170.00-0.03921%-0.083-0.06617%-0.07

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.240.030.029122%0.261-0.0100%0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.160.020.051281%0.161-0.03250%-0.00
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.00-0.01967%0.081-0.0100%0.00
Mickael Pietrus0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.000.021258%0.0500.0000%0.00
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.020.00-0.06375%0.043-0.00250%-0.01
Adonal Foyle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01550%0.0010.002100%0.00
Marcin Gortat0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.040.000.05470%-0.0100.00250%-0.00
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.02233%0.001-0.022100%0.01
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.01-0.041046%0.034-0.05683%0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.021137%-0.031-0.02837%-0.05
Keith Bogans0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.11-0.01-0.0270%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.532.915.723.62.330.3132.5
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +51.9%
GSW -3.1%
GSW -7.6%
ORL +6.2%
ORL +2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWORLNBAGSWORLNBA
this game14.714.115.581.8111.9106.4
season13.815.3107.3107.3
opponent15.815.0101.4111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW15.714.916.612.014.7
ORL11.515.114.715.114.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeMarcus Nelson20220.01-0.510.510.27-9-231411.315.6-4.2615.113.81.32
Marcus Williams2021-0.00-0.500.500.26-9-231411.315.6-4.2615.713.62.03
Brandan Wright3234-0.09-0.410.330.24-11-211014.714.8-0.0914.014.1-0.05
CJ Watson2122-0.15-0.350.200.14-10-221214.114.9-0.7714.713.90.80
Anthony Randolph5354-0.18-0.320.140.11-10-221214.015.7-1.6914.913.01.90
Anthony Morrow5860-0.20-0.300.100.39-20-12-813.616.4-2.8014.713.21.50
Ronny Turiaf1919-0.21-0.290.070.05-9-231416.514.32.1413.614.2-0.53
Kelenna Azubuike5253-0.26-0.24-0.010.15-14-18415.513.91.5413.614.6-1.04
Rob Kurz4243-0.26-0.24-0.020.50-26-6-2013.815.5-1.7113.714.3-0.59
Andris Biedrins5149-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.02-10-221215.913.52.4213.714.4-0.67
Marco Belinelli6262-0.42-0.08-0.340.08-17-15-215.912.83.0913.015.7-2.74
Jamal Crawford6566-0.43-0.07-0.350.01-15-17216.311.94.4113.714.7-0.96

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwight Howard60610.55-0.050.60-0.152481613.415.0-1.5416.112.63.52
Hedo Turkoglu61600.490.010.47-0.282662013.315.2-1.9716.412.24.19
Jameer Nelson58580.460.040.42-0.1621111013.614.7-1.1115.813.32.52
Keith Bogans45450.340.160.18-0.071418-413.314.6-1.3116.113.62.42
Rashard Lewis58570.260.240.01-0.241715213.215.2-1.9215.513.81.67
Tony Battie31300.240.26-0.01-0.231616014.713.80.9415.014.60.41
Mickael Pietrus39380.090.41-0.32-0.231121-1014.613.70.8213.015.9-2.88
Courtney Lee42410.080.42-0.34-0.241121-1014.613.70.9614.115.2-1.11
Anthony Johnson43410.040.46-0.42-0.281121-1014.713.61.1113.315.8-2.52
Adonal Foyle12120.000.50-0.500.03-133-3416.313.82.5810.715.3-4.64
JJ Redick15140.000.50-0.50-0.06230-2816.513.62.9110.115.5-5.36
Marcin Gortat4138-0.050.55-0.60-0.29824-1615.013.41.5412.616.1-3.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 114, DEN 1270.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
MIN 86, DEN 1070.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.8,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
WAS 122, GSW 1440.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%