inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New York Knicks 114 Excitement4.0 [1009] MVPEmmanuel Mudiay (DEN): +16.6%
Denver Nuggets 127 Comeback1.0 [1018] LVPBrandon Jennings (NYK): -4.7%


New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.150.000.051481%0.164-0.05887%-0.01
Willy Hernangomez0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.090.010.06871%0.071-0.02887%0.01
Lance Thomas0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.00267%0.0200.002100%0.01
Sasha Vujacic0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Maurice Ndour0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Mindaugas Kuzminskas0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Justin Holiday-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.03-0.000.03662%0.021-0.02475%0.01
Kyle O'Quinn-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ron Baker-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.04729%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Joakim Noah-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.01333%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Courtney Lee-0.030,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.011242%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Kristaps Porzingis-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.050.000.081949%-0.0300.007100%0.01
Brandon Jennings-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.00-0.010.04858%0.023-0.078100%0.02

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Emmanuel Mudiay0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.140.040.011573%0.191-0.0200%0.00
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.140.040.041178%0.162-0.021050%-0.03
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.000.011068%0.092-0.02560%-0.00
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.01-0.041443%0.0310.0000%0.00
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.00862%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Gary Harris0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.09-0.000.06967%0.0200.00667%-0.01
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.060.000.05959%0.0100.00475%0.01
Juan Hernangomez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.03-0.000.03560%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jusuf Nurkic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.01542%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.090.00-0.0530%-0.022-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.11.829.215.827.32.636.4138.1
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +39.4%
NYK -6.6%
DEN +7.9%
DEN +11.6%
NYK -2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNYKDENNBANYKDENNBA
this game13.015.414.8112.9124.5107.7
season15.014.4106.6111.6
opponent14.514.7111.2110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NYK12.812.913.912.213.0
DEN14.816.413.816.615.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sasha Vujacic450.00-0.500.50-0.062-15179.013.1-4.1115.615.40.20
Maurice Ndour450.00-0.500.50-0.062-15179.013.1-4.1115.615.40.20
Mindaugas Kuzminskas450.00-0.500.50-0.062-15179.013.1-4.1115.615.40.20
Willy Hernangomez6161-0.05-0.450.40-0.257-202711.814.7-2.9016.014.61.42
Lance Thomas2323-0.10-0.410.31-0.01-3-10712.013.2-1.2915.915.30.59
Ron Baker2324-0.11-0.390.27-0.141-141512.513.1-0.5617.514.82.79
Kyle O'Quinn1516-0.12-0.380.270.06-6-7110.913.3-2.3714.615.6-1.01
Justin Holiday4140-0.14-0.360.22-0.11-1-121112.513.2-0.7418.013.74.26
Joakim Noah2423-0.19-0.310.120.02-7-6-115.212.32.9114.015.8-1.77
Kristaps Porzingis7778-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.24-5-8313.511.32.1215.814.31.46
Brandon Jennings7878-0.39-0.11-0.270.02-141-1513.112.50.5614.817.5-2.79
Carmelo Anthony7676-0.510.01-0.520.11-218-2913.411.61.7414.617.7-3.06
Courtney Lee7576-0.520.02-0.540.12-229-3113.810.53.3014.418.3-3.84

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gary Harris64640.490.010.47-0.1020-72714.217.4-3.1614.011.22.78
Emmanuel Mudiay69680.440.060.39-0.0216-31914.417.5-3.1513.511.81.73
Kenneth Faried66640.420.080.35-0.0416-31914.816.4-1.6012.114.4-2.25
Danilo Gallinari59590.370.130.24-0.0715-21715.215.7-0.5313.212.50.69
Wilson Chandler57570.350.150.190.05103714.716.3-1.5313.612.21.40
Nikola Jokic39410.210.29-0.070.0467-115.415.4-0.0914.611.82.71
Jusuf Nurkic18160.090.41-0.320.00310-716.815.11.7311.013.3-2.32
Will Barton69680.090.41-0.320.24-518-2315.814.51.3311.815.2-3.40
Jameer Nelson32320.060.44-0.390.11-215-1717.514.53.0012.013.4-1.44
Juan Hernangomez540.000.50-0.500.06-215-1715.615.40.209.013.1-4.11
Darrell Arthur67-0.010.51-0.510.14-518-2323.014.98.0614.312.91.43
Jamal Murray2625-0.010.51-0.530.19-720-2718.114.53.5812.013.3-1.26


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 81, ORL 1130.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
MIA 81, IND 1040.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
MIN 86, DEN 1070.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.8,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%