inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 122 Excitement4.2 [1002] MVPStephen Curry (GSW): +36.4%
Golden State Warriors 144 Comeback1.0 [1240] LVPDraymond Green (GSW): -8.6%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bradley Beal0.100,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.160.000.061572%0.1000.002100%0.00
Markieff Morris0.090,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.100.010.021070%0.0900.0000%0.00
Jeff Green0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.04-0.00662%0.091-0.024100%0.06
Otto Porter Jr.0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.00967%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.011071%0.133-0.084100%0.01
Troy Brown Jr.0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01350%0.0000.002100%0.00
Thomas Bryant-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01543%-0.0000.004100%-0.00
Tomas Satoransky-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01357%0.001-0.008100%-0.01
Jordan McRae-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.03520%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jason Smith-0.020,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.01540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Austin Rivers-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.030.000.041045%-0.052-0.0200%0.00
John Wall-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.011246%0.004-0.09450%-0.02

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.360.360.460.000.102488%0.402-0.0310100%0.04
Kevin Durant0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.170.040.041877%0.253-0.073100%0.02
Jordan Bell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.040.024100%0.0810.0000%0.00
Klay Thompson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.01-0.001753%0.071-0.032100%0.01
Damian Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.01183%0.0400.00475%0.00
Shaun Livingston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.01657%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Kevon Looney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00-0.00150%0.0000.002100%0.01
Jacob Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Quinn Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.01658%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.000.01636%-0.0300.00250%0.00
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.02425%-0.041-0.0000%0.00
Draymond Green0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.010.02383%0.015-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.21.829.213.632.00.326.1130.3
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +28.7%
GSW +8.9%
GSW +13.0%
WAS -1.3%
GSW +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASGSWNBAWASGSWNBA
this game13.312.514.3108.9129.7109.3
season13.813.4109.8114.5
opponent15.014.3108.9112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS12.413.813.713.613.3
GSW10.512.014.014.112.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Troy Brown Jr.17160.00-0.500.50-0.093-252812.613.5-0.8211.212.7-1.44
Thomas Bryant2121-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-232413.013.4-0.4812.712.40.22
Jordan McRae2727-0.03-0.470.450.09-4-181413.113.4-0.3514.012.01.95
Tomas Satoransky4747-0.03-0.470.440.03-2-201813.213.4-0.1813.112.01.11
Jason Smith2625-0.19-0.310.130.08-9-13413.713.20.5111.712.7-1.04
Austin Rivers6767-0.19-0.310.120.07-9-13413.912.61.2712.113.0-0.93
Otto Porter Jr.5554-0.21-0.290.08-0.06-5-171213.413.30.0812.812.20.53
Bradley Beal4645-0.28-0.22-0.050.02-10-12212.813.7-0.8713.212.01.27
Jeff Green6565-0.31-0.19-0.120.10-14-8-613.313.4-0.0812.712.10.61
Markieff Morris5655-0.35-0.15-0.210.09-15-7-813.313.4-0.0712.112.9-0.78
Kelly Oubre Jr.6869-0.45-0.05-0.390.32-264-3013.513.20.3012.213.0-0.86
John Wall6564-0.47-0.03-0.440.11-20-2-1813.413.20.1812.013.1-1.11

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stephen Curry76760.470.030.44-0.091931612.013.5-1.5412.914.2-1.26
Kevin Durant74750.470.030.44-0.2926-43012.612.20.4513.413.20.22
Andre Iguodala59600.320.180.13-0.041210212.712.30.3713.413.20.20
Kevon Looney32320.300.200.10-0.11148611.213.0-1.7412.613.6-1.00
Klay Thompson66660.290.210.07-0.12148613.311.32.0514.012.31.68
Draymond Green63640.260.240.03-0.15148613.011.81.2214.112.31.80
Jordan Bell48470.230.27-0.050.05616-1011.713.0-1.3013.213.4-0.18
Damian Jones27280.120.38-0.27-0.03517-1213.312.21.1213.113.4-0.31
Jonas Jerebko36370.040.46-0.430.10-224-2612.112.7-0.6413.013.5-0.55
Shaun Livingston32310.020.48-0.47-0.10418-1414.111.82.3013.713.20.56
Jacob Evans10100.000.50-0.50-0.12418-1410.712.7-1.9611.713.5-1.80
Quinn Cook16170.000.50-0.500.09-325-2811.212.7-1.4412.613.5-0.82
Alfonzo McKinnie16170.000.50-0.500.09-325-2811.212.7-1.4412.613.5-0.82


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 82, BOS 1070.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.68,0.82,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
DET 90, IND 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,196.2%
NYK 83, MEM 940.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%