NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	82		Excitement	4.0 [1009]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +14.6%
Boston Celtics	107		Comeback	1.2 [1061]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (CLE): -15.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeSagana Diop	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Tony Battie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
J.R. Bremer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	5	33%	-0.02	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	9	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dajuan Wagner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	7	28%	-0.04	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	6	31%	-0.05	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Kedrick Brown	-0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	10	41%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
LeBron James	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.16	-0.01	-0.04	19	42%	-0.06	5	-0.08	7	71%	-0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.00	7	26%	-0.10	2	-0.06	5	20%	-0.05

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.03	-0.00	15	70%	0.17	1	-0.03	13	92%	0.04
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	-0.04	9	50%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	7	69%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mike James	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	10	54%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Michael Stewart	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	12	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	70%	0.03	5	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	0.05	9	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.15	-0.00	-0.09	3	33%	-0.03	4	-0.04	6	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.1	0.3	27.8	14.8	28.2	1.8	28.2	131.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +48.6%

BOS +7.9%

CLE -17.9%

BOS +9.5%

BOS +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	15.1	13.1	15.7	81.2	103.9	100.5
season	15.7	14.4		99.8	99.5
opponent	15.9	15.5		102.1	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.3	19.0	14.1	13.9	15.1
BOS	12.3	14.6	14.1	11.8	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	8	9	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-29	33	20.0	14.7	5.30	18.3	12.6	5.70
DeSagana Diop	32	33	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-19	13	15.5	15.0	0.51	13.3	13.1	0.20
Jason Kapono	38	39	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.16	-7	-18	11	13.5	16.1	-2.55	13.1	13.1	-0.01
Tony Battie	37	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-23	21	16.9	14.1	2.84	14.0	12.6	1.43
Eric Williams	42	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-25	25	14.6	15.5	-0.81	14.7	12.0	2.72
J.R. Bremer	19	18	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	-22	19	15.8	15.0	0.83	13.9	13.0	0.98
Dajuan Wagner	63	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.19	-12	-13	1	14.2	16.7	-2.51	13.3	12.9	0.38
Darius Miles	35	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.37	-20	-5	-15	14.5	15.4	-0.93	11.6	13.9	-2.28
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	46	46	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	-11	-3	14.1	16.0	-1.89	13.2	13.1	0.03
Kedrick Brown	48	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.09	-17	-8	-9	16.5	13.9	2.55	12.3	13.9	-1.62
Carlos Boozer	47	48	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.11	-18	-7	-11	15.6	14.7	0.97	12.4	13.8	-1.43
LeBron James	90	92	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.31	-30	5	-35	15.0	16.0	-0.99	12.6	17.5	-4.83

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike James	57	55	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.38	33	-8	41	12.5	14.0	-1.48	15.3	14.9	0.38
Paul Pierce	74	72	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.33	28	-3	31	12.6	14.6	-1.97	15.6	13.9	1.71
Jiri Welsch	64	63	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.08	13	12	1	13.8	12.1	1.66	14.7	15.9	-1.20
Mark Blount	60	57	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.36	25	0	25	12.8	13.5	-0.68	15.7	14.4	1.34
Chris Mihm	51	53	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.06	14	11	3	12.7	13.5	-0.77	14.9	15.4	-0.53
Walter McCarty	50	50	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.30	18	7	11	12.8	13.5	-0.65	15.1	15.1	-0.04
Jumaine Jones	30	29	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.16	-2	27	-29	15.3	12.2	3.05	14.7	15.3	-0.55
Ricky Davis	59	59	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.10	5	20	-15	13.3	13.0	0.32	15.1	15.1	0.04
Brandon Hunter	16	14	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.11	4	21	-17	11.7	13.4	-1.71	14.9	15.1	-0.22
Michael Stewart	8	7	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.08	-5	30	-35	13.7	13.1	0.67	13.3	15.3	-1.97
Marcus Banks	46	46	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.15	-8	33	-41	14.0	12.5	1.48	14.9	15.3	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.68,0.82,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 122, GSW 144	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
TOR 73, BOS 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
WAS 88, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%