NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	88		Excitement	3.6 [1089]		MVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): +4.4%
Utah Jazz	103		Comeback	1.3 [1294]		LVP	Mike James (WAS): -10.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Songaila	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	62%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	7	72%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Nick Young	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	10	52%	0.01	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	13	47%	-0.05	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	9	30%	-0.04	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Dominic McGuire	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	5	36%	-0.01	5	-0.06	1	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	11	37%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	15	38%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Mike James	-0.11	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	8	53%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.02	6	64%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.05	9	79%	0.04	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	10	54%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	13	48%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	15	38%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	9	55%	-0.00	8	-0.10	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.0	28.2	15.6	30.1	0.3	26.1	127.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +30.5%

UTA +10.3%

UTA +0.2%

UTA +5.9%

UTA +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	UTA	NBA	WAS	UTA	NBA
this game	14.8	13.4	15.5	86.3	101.0	106.4
season	15.9	15.3		103.5	107.7
opponent	15.0	15.2		105.4	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.8	14.9	13.5	16.3	14.8
UTA	12.9	14.5	12.2	14.3	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oleksiy Pecherov	38	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-19	23	14.4	15.0	-0.57	14.1	13.0	1.13
Javaris Crittenton	44	46	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.16	3	-18	21	14.7	14.8	-0.09	13.7	13.2	0.44
Darius Songaila	50	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-11	7	13.8	15.8	-2.01	13.8	13.1	0.74
Juan Dixon	58	58	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	-6	-3	14.7	15.0	-0.26	13.4	13.5	-0.04
Nick Young	59	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.21	-1	-14	13	15.5	13.9	1.59	14.2	12.4	1.85
Mike James	46	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-3	-9	14.7	14.9	-0.16	13.6	13.3	0.28
Andray Blatche	43	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.21	-18	3	-21	14.5	15.0	-0.51	12.4	14.3	-1.93
Dominic McGuire	51	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-3	-9	15.2	14.4	0.78	13.0	13.9	-0.98
JaVale McGee	45	47	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	-7	-1	16.3	13.6	2.62	12.6	14.2	-1.63
Antawn Jamison	76	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	3	-21	14.3	16.2	-1.81	13.5	13.2	0.25

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mehmet Okur	66	67	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.33	27	-12	39	12.8	14.6	-1.82	15.6	13.3	2.22
Andrei Kirilenko	63	63	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.01	15	0	15	12.4	15.1	-2.75	14.0	16.1	-2.02
Deron Williams	60	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	-1	17	13.3	13.6	-0.24	14.0	16.1	-2.13
CJ Miles	47	47	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.18	19	-4	23	12.4	14.3	-1.94	14.5	15.1	-0.58
Carlos Boozer	74	73	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.19	19	-4	23	13.0	14.5	-1.42	14.6	15.3	-0.66
Paul Millsap	46	46	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.35	-8	23	-31	15.4	11.8	3.61	14.3	15.2	-0.87
Ronnie Brewer	48	48	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	15	-15	14.4	12.6	1.82	15.6	14.1	1.51
Brevin Knight	42	40	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	16	-17	13.6	13.3	0.24	16.1	14.0	2.13
Kyle Korver	38	38	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	11	-7	14.7	12.7	2.08	15.4	14.5	0.94
Matt Harpring	10	11	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	15	-15	12.3	13.6	-1.25	13.7	14.9	-1.21
Jarron Collins	9	9	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.25	-8	23	-31	13.4	13.4	0.01	14.2	14.9	-0.64
Ronnie Price	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	23	-31	15.0	13.3	1.68	15.5	14.8	0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 85, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
PHI 96, DET 113	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
NYK 89, ATL 118	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%