NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	85		Excitement	3.0 [1150]		MVP	Anthony Peeler (MIN): +10.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Comeback	1.1 [1163]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -12.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Battie	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	90%	0.06	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	5	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	17	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dana Barros	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	7	57%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Walter McCarty	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	-0.00	-0.06	7	19%	-0.07	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	0.05	17	42%	-0.12	1	-0.00	6	83%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.00	-0.06	10	55%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	15	61%	0.09	5	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	10	67%	0.03	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	10	56%	0.01	1	0.00	7	86%	0.00
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	0.04	15	59%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	25.5	14.7	28.2	2.5	25.3	124.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +44.8%

MIN +4.4%

MIN +1.2%

BOS -1.8%

MIN +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIN	NBA	BOS	MIN	NBA
this game	15.0	15.1	15.2	88.5	108.4	101.7
season	14.7	15.1		102.4	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.1		101.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.2	15.0	16.2	13.8	15.0
MIN	13.0	16.3	15.1	16.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	37	37	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.17	7	-25	32	13.8	15.8	-2.07	15.7	14.8	0.90
Doug Overton	26	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-23	28	13.1	15.8	-2.68	16.1	14.8	1.36
Calbert Cheaney	31	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-18	18	15.1	15.0	0.14	16.5	14.5	1.95
Dana Barros	44	43	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.15	3	-21	24	13.7	16.2	-2.53	16.5	14.0	2.53
Eric Williams	35	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.01	-6	-12	6	14.2	15.5	-1.26	14.6	15.4	-0.88
Danny Fortson	32	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.13	-12	-6	-6	15.1	15.0	0.14	14.7	15.3	-0.57
Antoine Walker	63	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-9	0	15.1	14.9	0.19	15.3	14.9	0.38
Vitaly Potapenko	31	31	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.15	-16	-2	-14	16.5	14.3	2.15	14.9	15.2	-0.33
Paul Pierce	67	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.05	-16	-2	-14	15.4	14.3	1.08	14.6	16.4	-1.84
Kenny Anderson	52	52	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.18	-21	3	-24	16.2	13.7	2.53	14.0	16.5	-2.53
Walter McCarty	62	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.19	-25	7	-32	15.8	13.6	2.23	14.8	15.7	-0.92

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	70	72	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.19	25	-7	32	15.2	14.8	0.39	16.0	12.1	3.88
Terrell Brandon	79	80	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.11	21	-3	24	15.3	14.5	0.75	15.5	12.9	2.59
Sam Mitchell	65	63	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.03	17	1	16	14.8	15.9	-1.13	15.7	13.7	2.08
Malik Sealy	54	54	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.22	23	-5	28	14.2	16.3	-2.14	15.7	14.2	1.45
Rasho Nesterovic	36	37	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	10	-2	13.4	16.2	-2.80	15.2	14.9	0.30
Dean Garrett	35	34	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.10	10	8	2	16.3	14.4	1.93	13.4	15.9	-2.55
Anthony Peeler	44	46	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.24	-7	25	-32	16.3	14.1	2.18	14.0	15.9	-1.90
Wally Szczerbiak	50	50	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.12	-3	21	-24	15.6	14.6	0.92	14.1	16.0	-1.90
Joe Smith	23	25	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	19	-20	15.9	14.9	1.04	15.2	15.0	0.28
William Avery	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	13.3	15.2	-1.85	10.3	15.2	-4.85
Tom Hammonds	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	13.3	15.2	-1.85	10.3	15.2	-4.85
Bobby Jackson	13	13	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	21	-24	14.8	15.2	-0.41	13.5	15.3	-1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 88, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
MIN 100, SAS 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.71,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
DAL 99, MIN 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%