NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	96		Excitement	6.6 [286]		MVP	Matt Geiger (PHI): +18.8%
New Jersey Nets	92		Comeback	1.7 [344]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NJN): -25.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Geiger	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.09	0.09	-0.00	10	70%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	11	68%	0.09	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.03
Aaron McKie	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.02	4	80%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Harvey Grant	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	11	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
George Lynch	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	8	38%	-0.07	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.05
Allen Iverson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.14	-0.01	-0.02	23	40%	-0.07	2	-0.06	11	55%	-0.01
Eric Snow	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	9	50%	0.03	5	-0.17	2	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.01	19	58%	0.10	3	-0.06	10	90%	0.05
Mark Hendrickson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
William Cunningham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	2	67%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	0.05	15	57%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	14	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.17,-0.23,-0.26	-0.26	-0.13	-0.13	-0.00	17	44%	-0.10	4	-0.15	7	86%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	2.6	24.6	14.7	28.6	1.7	36.3	129.6
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +35.1%

NJN -6.5%

PHI +21.9%

NJN -5.2%

PHI +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NJN	NBA	PHI	NJN	NBA
this game	16.1	16.4	15.8	107.9	104.5	99.6
season	15.6	15.0		97.0	96.5
opponent	15.6	15.9		100.6	94.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.8	15.0	15.3	16.2	16.1
NJN	14.9	18.4	17.4	15.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	70	68	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.34	13	-9	22	16.1	16.3	-0.18	16.6	15.8	0.80
Theo Ratliff	76	75	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.41	10	-6	16	16.4	14.8	1.59	16.4	16.7	-0.32
Allen Iverson	80	79	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.35	2	2	0	16.0	17.3	-1.35	16.0	20.3	-4.36
George Lynch	59	58	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.28	0	4	-4	15.9	16.6	-0.77	16.0	17.2	-1.18
Aaron McKie	46	45	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.35	-6	10	-16	16.0	16.2	-0.21	16.9	15.9	1.00
Harvey Grant	28	30	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	-1	6	16.6	15.9	0.76	16.0	16.7	-0.69
Larry Hughes	40	41	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.06	1	3	-2	16.1	16.1	0.00	16.8	16.1	0.67
Matt Geiger	46	44	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.14	-5	9	-14	16.2	16.1	0.06	17.0	15.8	1.20

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	32	32	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.13	3	-7	10	17.2	16.0	1.25	17.2	15.5	1.66
Mark Hendrickson	8	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-2	0	17.5	16.3	1.19	13.9	16.3	-2.47
William Cunningham	26	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-2	0	14.4	17.3	-2.89	18.0	15.3	2.65
Elliot Perry	12	11	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	3	-10	20.7	15.7	5.01	15.4	16.2	-0.87
Kendall Gill	66	66	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.39	6	-10	16	16.1	17.5	-1.38	16.3	15.7	0.52
Chris Carr	22	23	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	6	-16	17.5	16.1	1.38	15.7	16.3	-0.52
Stephon Marbury	76	78	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-7	10	15.7	20.7	-5.01	16.2	15.4	0.87
Jamie Feick	62	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-2	0	17.3	14.4	2.89	15.3	18.0	-2.65
Keith Van Horn	80	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.40	-2	-2	0	16.3	17.5	-1.19	16.3	13.9	2.47
Kerry Kittles	56	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.25	-7	3	-10	16.0	17.2	-1.25	15.5	17.2	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.2,0.18,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.17,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 99, NOH 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.13,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	92.4%
CLE 81, ORL 71	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.14,0.1,0.01,0,0	92.3%
IND 92, MIL 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.31,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.16,0.09,0.17,0.16,0.24,0.16,0	92.3%