NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	99		Excitement	5.5 [562]		MVP	Roger Mason Jr. (WAS): +39.0%
New Orleans Hornets	89		Comeback	1.6 [352]		LVP	Andray Blatche (WAS): -16.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roger Mason Jr.	0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.27,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.19	0.22	0.03	9	100%	0.39	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	75%	0.13	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Shelvin Mack	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.05	0.01	16	72%	0.10	5	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Trevor Booker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	70%	0.10	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Maurice Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	16	45%	0.03	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Chris Singleton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	9	22%	-0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gustavo Ayon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	11	62%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Chris Kaman	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.03	-0.01	15	59%	0.05	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	4	45%	-0.01	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	9	56%	0.00	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.09	0.01	11	46%	-0.05	1	-0.06	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	2.4	27.3	15.4	26.5	2.5	26.3	121.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +48.4%

NOH -5.3%

WAS +4.1%

NOH -3.1%

WAS +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NOH	NBA	WAS	NOH	NBA
this game	15.3	16.8	15.6	110.0	100.0	102.8
season	15.0	16.3		99.5	99.2
opponent	15.7	15.7		103.4	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.0	16.5	16.1	14.8	15.3
NOH	16.0	16.2	17.4	17.9	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelvin Mack	43	42	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-3	16	16.0	14.8	1.21	17.0	16.7	0.21
Kevin Seraphin	55	54	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.28	5	5	0	15.1	15.7	-0.56	16.8	16.9	-0.12
John Wall	80	79	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.20	7	3	4	14.8	19.3	-4.45	16.6	19.1	-2.54
Andray Blatche	39	39	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.05	9	1	8	15.5	15.2	0.34	17.2	16.6	0.65
Trevor Booker	78	77	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	5	0	14.9	18.1	-3.16	16.8	17.2	-0.47
Roger Mason Jr.	35	34	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.21	0	10	-10	15.9	15.0	0.84	17.3	16.6	0.73
Jordan Crawford	63	64	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	3	4	15.0	16.1	-1.15	16.9	16.6	0.34
Chris Singleton	37	37	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	10	-10	15.4	15.3	0.01	17.0	16.7	0.27
Maurice Evans	12	11	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.04	3	7	-4	16.7	15.1	1.53	16.0	17.0	-0.96
Jan Vesely	8	8	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.00	1	9	-8	20.0	14.9	5.11	16.0	16.9	-0.93

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	27	27	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-5	0	15.0	17.6	-2.65	14.6	15.7	-1.13
Xavier Henry	8	10	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-4	-2	18.0	16.7	1.27	17.4	15.1	2.31
Al-Farouq Aminu	32	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-7	4	16.9	16.8	0.10	16.5	14.7	1.85
Trevor Ariza	60	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-6	2	16.9	16.8	0.07	14.9	16.2	-1.23
Lance Thomas	36	37	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.02	-9	-1	-8	17.4	16.5	0.96	15.1	15.5	-0.45
Gustavo Ayon	68	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-8	6	16.6	17.6	-1.02	15.8	14.0	1.75
Greivis Vasquez	68	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-6	2	17.1	15.9	1.23	15.4	15.0	0.39
Jarrett Jack	75	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.27	-5	-5	0	17.1	15.4	1.76	15.3	15.7	-0.42
Chris Kaman	71	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.18	-12	2	-14	16.7	17.3	-0.55	14.9	17.1	-2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.13,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 89, DET 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.42,0.36,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.07,0,0,0	93.2%
LAL 93, MEM 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.36,0.21,0.1,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.2%
PHI 96, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.2,0.18,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.17,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.04,0	92.4%