NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	89		Excitement	6.8 [477]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +23.4%
Detroit Pistons	82		Comeback	1.6 [392]		LVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): -22.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	11	73%	0.23	4	-0.14	4	75%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	8	72%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Andres Nocioni	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.02	0.03	11	64%	0.10	2	-0.08	6	83%	-0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	8	56%	0.05	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Luol Deng	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Eddy Curry	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	9	57%	0.02	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23	0.23	0.16	0.07	-0.01	16	76%	0.26	2	-0.02	10	100%	0.07
Darvin Ham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	5	40%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	5	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.15,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	10	48%	0.00	4	-0.14	5	40%	-0.05
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.04	-0.00	17	33%	-0.09	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.11	-0.09	0.01	15	37%	-0.08	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.11	0.00	13	23%	-0.18	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.4	29.6	15.7	27.0	2.6	29.7	131.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +67.9%

DET -6.1%

DET -16.2%

CHI +3.7%

CHI +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DET	NBA	CHI	DET	NBA
this game	15.6	17.2	15.5	100.0	94.3	104.0
season	15.1	16.7		100.1	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.4		98.9	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.0	15.7	16.4	15.2	15.6
DET	17.0	16.4	20.6	15.4	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andres Nocioni	60	60	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-5	17	14.7	17.3	-2.54	16.3	19.1	-2.85
Tyson Chandler	63	63	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	-3	13	15.0	16.9	-1.87	16.9	17.8	-0.90
Antonio Davis	58	57	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.28	5	2	3	15.8	15.1	0.76	16.7	18.1	-1.35
Ben Gordon	42	44	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	1	5	15.1	16.0	-0.84	16.5	17.9	-1.48
Kirk Hinrich	63	61	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	1	5	16.1	14.3	1.72	18.0	15.2	2.90
Adrian Griffin	7	6	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.03	6	1	5	8.6	16.2	-7.59	18.7	17.1	1.59
Eric Piatkowski	23	21	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	1	5	14.5	15.9	-1.46	18.8	16.7	2.08
Chris Duhon	50	48	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.26	-4	11	-15	15.8	15.3	0.54	16.1	18.6	-2.50
Luol Deng	36	34	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.11	-6	13	-19	17.7	14.1	3.53	18.6	16.3	2.31
Eddy Curry	43	41	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.06	-6	13	-19	16.5	14.7	1.88	18.1	16.3	1.77

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Dupree	16	15	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.04	1	-8	9	21.1	16.3	4.83	14.3	15.8	-1.56
Darvin Ham	1	1	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-7	7	0.0	17.4	-17.38	3.0	15.7	-12.70
Rasheed Wallace	65	71	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.27	5	-12	17	17.1	17.3	-0.18	16.0	13.9	2.03
Chauncey Billups	68	71	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.27	4	-11	15	17.0	17.8	-0.84	16.8	10.8	6.00
Antonio McDyess	37	35	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	3	-13	17.6	16.9	0.76	14.5	16.2	-1.68
Lindsey Hunter	43	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	4	-15	16.0	18.3	-2.29	13.6	17.2	-3.56
Richard Hamilton	63	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.28	-7	0	-7	18.2	14.6	3.59	15.4	15.9	-0.46
Tayshaun Prince	68	70	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	1	-9	16.3	20.4	-4.14	16.1	13.6	2.52
Ben Wallace	74	75	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.36	-9	2	-11	17.2	17.0	0.22	15.6	15.5	0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.42,0.36,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.07,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 99, NOH 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.13,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.2%
PHI 109, ATL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.11,0.13,0.03,0,0,0,0	92.8%
POR 92, ORL 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0	92.8%