NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	92		Excitement	6.7 [468]		MVP	Ruben Patterson (POR): +19.1%
Orlando Magic	84		Comeback	1.6 [280]		LVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): -22.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ruben Patterson	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.06	-0.01	11	75%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.00	15	71%	0.27	3	-0.11	5	100%	0.03
Bonzi Wells	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.02	10	67%	0.15	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Kerr	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chris Dudley	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Rasheed Wallace	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	20	42%	-0.05	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Derek Anderson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.04	0.03	11	41%	-0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.17	-0.06	-0.01	5	17%	-0.08	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	5	91%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	8	84%	0.11	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	6	62%	0.05	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.02	-0.05	13	42%	-0.00	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	6	38%	-0.04	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	14	45%	-0.07	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.07	0.01	17	41%	-0.10	2	-0.08	7	71%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.6	27.2	16.6	25.1	1.5	29.6	128.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +20.1%

POR +2.3%

POR +23.6%

ORL -0.7%

POR +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	ORL	NBA	POR	ORL	NBA
this game	18.6	15.3	15.6	108.2	98.8	102.3
season	16.0	14.6		105.0	104.6
opponent	15.8	15.6		103.3	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.7	19.2	23.3	16.3	18.6
ORL	16.8	15.0	15.8	13.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	57	59	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.21	14	-6	20	19.2	17.3	1.91	14.6	16.9	-2.31
Rasheed Wallace	70	66	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.41	7	1	6	18.6	18.7	-0.08	15.9	13.0	2.94
Scottie Pippen	63	61	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.38	5	3	2	19.0	17.5	1.48	15.4	15.1	0.28
Damon Stoudamire	74	73	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.22	9	-1	10	18.7	17.7	1.00	14.8	17.9	-3.07
Derek Anderson	55	56	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.21	6	2	4	17.1	21.3	-4.12	14.6	16.6	-1.93
Shawn Kemp	21	24	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.12	8	0	8	16.5	19.3	-2.82	14.4	15.6	-1.26
Steve Kerr	4	4	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	4	0	28.7	18.1	10.65	12.0	15.4	-3.44
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	13	13	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	8	-8	17.1	18.9	-1.80	14.3	15.5	-1.15
Bonzi Wells	35	36	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	9	-10	17.5	19.3	-1.80	17.2	13.9	3.27
Chris Dudley	26	24	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	13	-18	20.5	17.7	2.79	17.5	14.4	3.15
Dale Davis	7	9	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.04	-7	15	-22	21.7	18.3	3.39	13.9	15.4	-1.56

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	10	9	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.01	4	-12	16	14.4	15.4	-1.00	22.0	18.2	3.80
Monty Williams	26	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	-4	0	15.3	15.3	-0.02	17.0	19.2	-2.25
Pat Garrity	55	58	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-9	10	15.3	15.2	0.08	18.4	19.0	-0.64
Jud Buechler	4	4	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-2	-4	17.7	15.2	2.59	21.5	18.5	3.04
Don Reid	31	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-3	-2	14.9	15.5	-0.60	17.1	19.4	-2.37
Troy Hudson	34	33	-0.29	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-2	-4	14.6	15.8	-1.21	15.9	20.3	-4.40
Horace Grant	56	55	-0.29	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-5	2	16.2	13.5	2.68	19.9	16.3	3.61
Tracy McGrady	71	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.32	-6	-2	-4	15.0	16.8	-1.80	18.5	19.0	-0.46
Darrell Armstrong	59	61	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.29	-7	-1	-6	15.2	15.5	-0.26	19.4	16.5	2.93
Mike Miller	79	78	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.28	-8	0	-8	15.4	13.8	1.56	18.9	14.9	4.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 99, MIL 87	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.38,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.29,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.07,0,0,0	93.7%
BKN 99, SAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.27,0.18,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.4,0.25,0.15,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.12,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0	93.3%
LAL 93, MEM 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.36,0.21,0.1,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.3%