NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	99		Excitement	5.5 [697]		MVP	Andray Blatche (BKN): +22.2%
Sacramento Kings	90		Comeback	1.9 [714]		LVP	Charles Hayes (SAC): -10.0%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andray Blatche	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.20	0.02	0.00	12	88%	0.22	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
MarShon Brooks	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.04	6	93%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
CJ Watson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.01	0.01	7	81%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Reggie Evans	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Tyshawn Taylor	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	3	67%	0.08	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	12	48%	0.04	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Brook Lopez	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	14	41%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	0.00	0.02	10	34%	-0.08	1	-0.01	9	89%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyreke Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.02	-0.01	14	62%	0.12	2	-0.06	6	67%	0.01
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	13	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	2	80%	0.01	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.12	21	60%	0.05	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	9	40%	-0.04	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	3	12%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	24.8	15.5	27.3	2.7	34.3	132.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +18.3%

BKN +25.4%

SAC -18.9%

BKN +21.9%

BKN +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	SAC	NBA	BKN	SAC	NBA
this game	16.7	15.6	15.4	111.2	101.1	104.1
season	16.5	15.0		106.5	104.7
opponent	15.2	15.4		109.4	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	16.1	16.3	18.0	16.6	16.7
SAC	16.6	16.5	14.7	14.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
MarShon Brooks	25	26	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.19	13	-4	17	13.8	17.9	-4.02	14.1	16.3	-2.14
Kris Humphries	51	50	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.18	10	-1	11	15.8	18.0	-2.22	14.9	16.5	-1.57
Deron Williams	64	63	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.21	8	1	7	16.0	18.7	-2.77	14.9	17.4	-2.53
Brook Lopez	55	54	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.18	8	1	7	15.5	18.7	-3.15	14.6	17.1	-2.49
Jerry Stackhouse	27	26	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.12	17	-8	25	16.3	16.9	-0.62	16.9	15.1	1.77
Joe Johnson	69	67	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.32	-4	13	-17	16.8	16.6	0.17	15.4	16.5	-1.10
CJ Watson	40	42	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	4	1	18.3	15.4	2.94	16.6	14.8	1.78
Andray Blatche	32	32	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	7	-5	19.7	15.1	4.62	17.9	14.3	3.60
Reggie Evans	37	39	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	11	-13	18.3	15.6	2.68	16.5	14.9	1.62
Tyshawn Taylor	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	10	-11	2.5	17.1	-14.56	9.0	15.8	-6.78
Gerald Wallace	43	44	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.12	-11	20	-31	18.0	15.5	2.55	16.2	15.1	1.05

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	52	53	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.11	2	-11	13	14.8	16.8	-1.98	16.5	17.0	-0.45
Thomas Robinson	31	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.05	-1	-8	7	18.3	14.2	4.08	19.5	15.2	4.27
Aaron Brooks	36	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-8	7	15.1	16.0	-0.96	15.1	17.8	-2.77
Isaiah Thomas	25	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.17	2	-11	13	16.1	15.5	0.63	17.4	16.5	0.99
Jimmer Fredette	18	18	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-3	-3	17.1	15.3	1.86	18.1	16.4	1.73
James Johnson	29	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-4	-1	17.2	14.9	2.34	19.1	15.6	3.52
Tyreke Evans	62	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-7	5	14.5	18.1	-3.56	15.5	19.6	-4.06
Jason Thompson	52	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-3	-3	14.6	17.1	-2.44	16.1	17.7	-1.62
DeMarcus Cousins	66	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-7	5	15.3	16.5	-1.20	16.1	18.5	-2.42
Charles Hayes	25	25	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	0	-9	16.7	15.2	1.52	18.5	16.0	2.43
Marcus Thornton	49	49	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.08	-17	8	-25	15.8	15.4	0.46	16.3	17.2	-0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.27,0.18,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.4,0.25,0.15,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.12,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, ORL 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0	93.3%
PHX 98, DEN 78	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.19,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.2%
LAL 93, MEM 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.36,0.21,0.1,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.2%