NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	87		Excitement	6.8 [255]		MVP	Mark Bryant (CHI): +31.1%
Chicago Bulls	88		Comeback	2.0 [400]		LVP	Dickey Simpkins (CHI): -19.8%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.01	10	67%	0.12	1	-0.04	10	90%	0.06
Michael Smith	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Cherokee Parks	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Terry Dehere	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Felipe Lopez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	10	55%	0.07	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Pete Chilcutt	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	0.00	11	32%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Wheat	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Henderson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	7	28%	-0.14	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.07
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.2	0.04	-0.24	-0.00	11	72%	-0.11	3	-0.09	14	86%	0.04

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.31	0.31	0.10	0.21	-0.00	13	76%	0.36	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.03
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.02	13	75%	0.17	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Keith Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kornel David	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	14	43%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Rusty LaRue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	8	19%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles R. Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.2	-0.20	-0.04	-0.15	0.00	10	55%	-0.12	2	-0.08	9	44%	-0.21

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	29.9	15.6	27.4	2.5	37.3	140.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +53.9%

VAN -16.8%

CHI +10.7%

VAN -2.3%

CHI +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	CHI	NBA	VAN	CHI	NBA
this game	16.6	18.9	15.8	106.1	110.0	99.6
season	16.4	16.7		95.7	90.6
opponent	15.4	15.1		101.1	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	17.8	16.6	15.0	17.1	16.6
CHI	15.6	19.4	19.2	21.9	18.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cherokee Parks	61	61	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.21	6	-7	13	16.8	16.3	0.48	17.8	22.7	-4.98
Terry Dehere	9	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	4	-9	15.1	16.8	-1.72	25.8	18.1	7.71
Mike Bibby	66	66	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.44	9	-10	19	16.6	16.9	-0.28	17.8	24.1	-6.22
J.R. Henderson	20	20	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	3	-7	17.6	16.3	1.33	20.4	18.4	2.02
Felipe Lopez	59	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.40	5	-6	11	16.6	16.9	-0.31	17.6	22.6	-5.04
DeJuan Wheat	16	14	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	9	-19	16.9	16.6	0.28	24.1	17.8	6.22
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	76	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.49	2	-3	5	16.6	16.8	-0.20	18.8	20.6	-1.79
Pete Chilcutt	39	39	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.34	-4	3	-7	15.6	17.6	-2.01	20.5	17.5	3.02
Michael Smith	64	60	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	3	-7	17.2	14.8	2.39	19.1	18.3	0.78

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rusty LaRue	54	56	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.45	11	-10	21	20.9	14.9	5.95	16.3	17.4	-1.08
Toni Kukoc	67	69	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.57	2	-1	3	17.9	24.5	-6.60	17.3	13.2	4.06
Dickey Simpkins	68	70	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.56	1	0	1	19.5	15.8	3.65	17.2	13.4	3.78
Mark Bryant	56	58	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.39	1	0	1	19.5	17.7	1.82	16.7	16.6	0.03
Brent Barry	66	66	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.39	-4	5	-9	18.0	23.6	-5.62	16.2	18.4	-2.23
Cory Carr	9	11	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	-3	7	23.2	18.4	4.83	16.5	16.7	-0.22
Keith Booth	7	6	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	0	1	17.9	19.0	-1.18	22.7	16.2	6.50
Kornel David	32	33	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	1	-1	18.0	19.5	-1.51	15.4	17.5	-2.15
Bill Wennington	15	15	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.07	-1	2	-3	23.4	17.9	5.49	13.5	17.3	-3.81
Charles R. Jones	26	26	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.02	-10	11	-21	14.9	20.9	-5.95	17.4	16.3	1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.8,0.81,0.72,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.57,0.73,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.68,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 96, VAN 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.78,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.96,1	92.1%
BKN 113, DAL 119	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.48,0.53,0.63,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.69,0.88,0.97,1,1	91.2%
NJN 85, ORL 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.94,1,1	91.1%