NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	113		Excitement	7.1 [456]		MVP	Harrison Barnes (DAL): +29.6%
Dallas Mavericks	119		Comeback	1.1 [941]		LVP	Dorian Finney-Smith (DAL): -19.7%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Crabbe	0.28	0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.20	0.07	0.00	16	84%	0.33	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.16	0.06	0.01	8	100%	0.23	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.13,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	11	59%	0.10	1	-0.05	10	80%	-0.00
Shabazz Napier	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	29%	-0.02	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Joe Harris	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	11	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
D'Angelo Russell	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	0.05	18	45%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	7	47%	0.01	3	-0.11	5	60%	-0.02
DeMarre Carroll	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	7	0%	-0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.15	0.14	-0.01	20	65%	0.32	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.11	0.11	-0.00	7	75%	0.26	1	-0.04	10	80%	0.01
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.06	-0.02	14	60%	0.19	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	5	79%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.02	11	64%	0.11	3	-0.09	11	82%	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.09	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Broekhoff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.08	0.03	9	22%	-0.14	1	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	29.8	14.0	29.1	1.7	39.2	140.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +31.0%

DAL +11.5%

BKN -5.7%

DAL +6.5%

DAL +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	DAL	NBA	BKN	DAL	NBA
this game	14.4	14.2	14.3	114.1	116.7	109.3
season	14.3	14.7		108.6	108.5
opponent	14.1	14.0		109.7	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	13.6	16.4	13.2	14.6	14.4
DAL	15.2	14.2	15.0	12.6	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	56	59	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.34	14	-20	34	12.9	16.4	-3.54	14.3	14.2	0.10
Spencer Dinwiddie	59	63	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.34	11	-17	28	12.8	16.8	-4.00	14.3	14.2	0.11
Shabazz Napier	36	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-5	4	14.7	14.3	0.40	13.6	14.6	-0.94
DeMarre Carroll	40	41	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.03	-1	-5	4	14.4	14.4	0.02	14.5	14.1	0.41
Ed Davis	44	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.05	-2	-4	2	14.1	14.7	-0.58	13.7	14.7	-0.99
Jarrett Allen	49	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-1	-4	15.3	13.5	1.77	15.4	13.0	2.47
Joe Harris	58	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-1	-4	14.2	14.7	-0.46	14.6	13.7	0.86
Jared Dudley	37	37	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	11	-28	16.8	13.0	3.78	14.1	14.3	-0.17
Allen Crabbe	62	64	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.25	-9	3	-12	14.5	14.2	0.32	14.1	14.5	-0.45
D'Angelo Russell	54	55	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.15	-15	9	-24	15.5	13.1	2.39	13.5	15.1	-1.52

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.J. Barea	62	59	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.26	9	-3	12	13.7	15.0	-1.28	14.6	14.1	0.44
Dorian Finney-Smith	69	67	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.26	8	-2	10	13.6	15.6	-1.97	14.4	14.4	0.01
Maxi Kleber	39	37	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.17	7	-1	8	13.3	14.8	-1.48	15.5	13.7	1.80
Salah Mejri	36	33	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.06	9	-3	12	13.7	14.5	-0.85	15.7	13.8	1.97
Luka Doncic	71	69	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	5	-4	14.9	12.8	2.02	13.9	15.5	-1.56
Harrison Barnes	75	74	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.25	-3	9	-12	14.3	14.2	0.08	13.4	17.4	-3.99
DeAndre Jordan	60	60	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	8	-10	15.2	12.9	2.36	14.2	14.8	-0.59
Devin Harris	39	37	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	6	-6	14.5	14.1	0.39	14.9	14.1	0.76
Ryan Broekhoff	19	19	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	2	2	13.5	14.4	-0.88	15.4	14.2	1.18
Dennis Smith Jr.	40	40	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	9	-12	15.0	13.7	1.28	14.1	14.6	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.48,0.53,0.63,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.69,0.88,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 108, MIN 115	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.8,0.83,0.69,0.85,0.98,1,1	93.2%
UTA 88, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.91,0.99,0.98,0.95,1,1	93.2%
MIA 88, NYK 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.95,0.98,1,1	93.0%