NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	88		Excitement	6.1 [462]		MVP	Steve Novak (NYK): +27.3%
New York Knicks	99		Comeback	1.2 [723]		LVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): -15.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.12	0.11	0.00	7	79%	0.22	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Al Jefferson	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	20	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	11	56%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
CJ Miles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	6	56%	0.06	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	42%	0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Enes Kanter	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	6	60%	0.01	3	-0.09	3	33%	-0.02
Josh Howard	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.04	-0.02	10	37%	-0.06	5	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.19	0.06	-0.02	10	95%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	10	55%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	9	46%	0.05	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.02
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.05	-0.03	10	36%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	17	65%	0.25	8	-0.25	9	78%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	56%	0.03	2	-0.04	8	50%	-0.04
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	7	37%	-0.04	3	-0.10	2	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.3	26.5	17.3	29.6	2.4	31.6	135.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +47.9%

UTA -4.4%

UTA -3.1%

NYK +8.8%

NYK +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NYK	NBA	UTA	NYK	NBA
this game	16.6	13.3	15.6	92.6	101.0	102.8
season	15.8	14.9		104.0	102.3
opponent	15.7	15.1		100.2	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.8	16.9	17.8	14.7	16.6
NYK	12.7	11.9	12.9	15.9	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	69	71	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.17	7	-18	25	16.6	16.5	0.09	13.9	11.7	2.24
Raja Bell	65	67	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-13	15	16.7	16.3	0.44	13.8	12.4	1.37
Gordon Hayward	67	69	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-11	11	16.5	16.6	-0.11	13.7	12.4	1.30
Devin Harris	58	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-11	11	16.3	17.0	-0.71	14.1	12.1	2.08
Paul Millsap	55	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.18	0	-11	11	16.9	16.1	0.85	14.0	12.4	1.61
Derrick Favors	40	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	0	-11	16.1	16.9	-0.85	12.4	14.0	-1.61
Earl Watson	37	38	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	0	-11	17.0	16.3	0.71	12.1	14.1	-2.08
CJ Miles	28	29	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	0	-11	16.6	16.5	0.11	12.4	13.7	-1.30
Josh Howard	30	31	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	2	-15	16.3	16.7	-0.44	12.4	13.8	-1.37
Enes Kanter	26	27	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.00	-18	7	-25	16.5	16.6	-0.09	11.7	13.9	-2.24

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	44	45	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.03	18	-7	25	13.9	12.9	0.97	17.6	15.7	1.92
Jeremy Lin	91	89	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.18	12	-1	13	13.3	13.7	-0.42	16.7	15.3	1.32
Landry Fields	89	86	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.11	14	-3	17	13.3	13.9	-0.62	16.7	15.7	1.00
Iman Shumpert	65	63	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-1	13	13.9	12.3	1.59	16.2	17.4	-1.22
Henry Walker	58	60	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.37	-1	12	-13	13.0	13.8	-0.84	16.6	16.6	-0.00
Jared Jeffries	71	67	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	6	-1	13.4	13.1	0.30	16.1	17.8	-1.73
Carmelo Anthony	12	11	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.07	7	4	3	12.7	13.4	-0.66	18.8	16.3	2.54
Toney Douglas	6	5	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	12	-13	13.0	13.3	-0.35	15.0	16.7	-1.66
Steve Novak	37	34	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	15	-19	12.8	13.6	-0.83	16.4	16.7	-0.29
Jerome Jordan	17	15	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.03	-7	18	-25	12.8	13.4	-0.61	15.8	16.7	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.91,0.99,0.98,0.95,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 95, CHI 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.73,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.77,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.8%
IND 86, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.76,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.8%
MEM 90, SAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.78,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.7%