NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	85		Excitement	6.1 [622]		MVP	Ryan Anderson (ORL): +27.7%
Orlando Magic	95		Comeback	1.4 [1121]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (ORL): -22.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	17	56%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	8	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.04	0.01	9	56%	0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	10	64%	0.06	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Quinton Ross	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	11	68%	0.10	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.01	11	43%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ben Uzoh	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.15	0.12	-0.00	8	94%	0.28	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.17	0.10	0.03	11	83%	0.24	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.03	0.02	12	67%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.04	8	74%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	12	50%	0.07	5	-0.17	18	39%	-0.21
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.19	-0.07	-0.04	12	8%	-0.16	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.3	29.4	16.4	27.3	2.4	28.7	130.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +39.3%

NJN -8.0%

NJN -1.7%

ORL +19.7%

ORL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ORL	NBA	NJN	ORL	NBA
this game	17.8	15.1	15.5	95.5	110.5	105.7
season	16.4	15.2		101.6	106.3
opponent	16.2	15.3		101.1	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.3	18.1	18.4	17.3	17.8
ORL	13.9	14.6	17.5	14.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	7	7	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-12	14	16.9	17.8	-0.98	12.0	15.4	-3.38
Stephen Graham	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-10	10	7.0	17.9	-10.89	14.5	15.1	-0.62
Kris Humphries	66	64	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-11	12	17.6	18.2	-0.55	16.1	12.3	3.81
Ben Uzoh	13	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.09	-7	-3	-4	15.7	18.1	-2.43	12.3	15.5	-3.25
Anthony Morrow	66	63	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.12	0	-10	10	17.3	19.0	-1.73	15.1	15.0	0.08
Johan Petro	28	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	-2	-6	16.1	18.5	-2.42	12.2	16.4	-4.26
Brook Lopez	62	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.27	-2	-8	6	18.6	15.9	2.69	16.4	12.2	4.26
Brandan Wright	19	19	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	2	-14	18.6	17.5	1.10	12.8	15.7	-2.90
Jordan Farmar	75	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-7	4	18.1	15.9	2.26	15.8	11.6	4.22
Sasha Vujacic	66	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.20	-9	-1	-8	18.4	15.9	2.55	15.5	14.1	1.39
Travis Outlaw	42	43	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	2	-14	17.6	17.9	-0.36	14.2	16.0	-1.84

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	56	56	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.16	16	-6	22	14.7	15.8	-1.02	17.3	18.5	-1.24
Hedo Turkoglu	68	71	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.23	10	0	10	15.1	15.1	-0.01	17.5	18.9	-1.41
Chris Duhon	44	46	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.15	11	-1	12	14.7	15.5	-0.82	17.7	17.8	-0.14
Jason Richardson	70	71	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.22	8	2	6	15.2	14.6	0.67	18.0	16.7	1.38
Dwight Howard	75	77	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.27	4	6	-2	15.3	13.7	1.58	17.5	19.3	-1.81
Jameer Nelson	28	28	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	8	-6	15.0	15.1	-0.10	17.0	18.1	-1.06
Brandon Bass	41	45	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	10	-10	15.2	15.0	0.22	18.8	16.7	2.01
Gilbert Arenas	48	51	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	11	-12	15.3	14.8	0.52	18.2	17.1	1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 78, TOR 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.87,0.83,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.96,1,1,1	93.3%
LAL 102, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.84,0.98,1	92.6%
SEA 95, POR 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.46,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.72,0.77,0.86,0.92,0.98,0.93,1,1,1,1	92.6%