NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	95		Excitement	6.3 [330]		MVP	Stacey Augmon (POR): +12.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	107		Comeback	1.7 [676]		LVP	Aaron Williams (SEA): -13.0%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Billy Owens	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	7	61%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Olden Polynice	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	9	53%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Hersey Hawkins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	5	50%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	2	80%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Detlef Schrempf	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	12	73%	0.08	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.03
Vladimir Stepania	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	11	45%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.03	0.04	23	53%	0.07	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.02
Dale Ellis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.02	0.04	7	36%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	5	91%	0.13	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	10	58%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.00	9	70%	0.10	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	6	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0,0,-0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.06	0.08	-0.02	5	62%	0.14	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.01	4	55%	0.01	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	15	39%	-0.01	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.03
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	8	30%	-0.09	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.05	0.05	17	57%	-0.03	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	31.2	17.5	24.5	3.3	30.4	134.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +22.4%

SEA -0.2%

POR +4.2%

POR +18.4%

POR +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	POR	NBA	SEA	POR	NBA
this game	15.1	15.9	15.8	101.1	116.3	99.6
season	15.4	16.0		102.4	102.0
opponent	15.9	15.9		96.2	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	17.0	14.3	15.4	14.0	15.1
POR	15.7	15.7	17.4	14.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jelani McCoy	11	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-8	4	11.0	15.7	-4.66	15.8	15.9	-0.05
Vladimir Stepania	44	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-9	6	15.0	15.2	-0.13	15.5	16.2	-0.74
Billy Owens	45	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	-4	-4	15.8	14.4	1.40	15.3	16.3	-1.05
John Crotty	8	8	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-3	-6	15.6	15.1	0.56	11.6	16.3	-4.64
Aaron Williams	29	27	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.04	-10	-2	-8	14.5	15.4	-0.92	15.9	15.9	-0.01
Gary Payton	86	84	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-9	6	15.1	15.6	-0.56	16.3	11.6	4.64
Dale Ellis	41	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-4	-4	13.8	16.2	-2.41	16.6	15.2	1.40
Detlef Schrempf	79	78	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-8	4	15.5	12.9	2.60	16.2	13.8	2.45
Olden Polynice	75	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.27	-1	-11	10	16.1	11.1	5.09	16.1	14.9	1.15
Hersey Hawkins	52	52	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.18	-10	-2	-8	14.7	15.6	-0.86	15.2	16.8	-1.62

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walt Williams	33	33	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.13	16	-4	20	14.2	16.8	-2.61	14.9	15.2	-0.37
Greg Anthony	36	37	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.08	16	-4	20	15.2	16.3	-1.05	14.0	15.8	-1.80
Jim Jackson	33	32	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	-1	14	15.5	16.1	-0.63	14.9	15.2	-0.27
Rasheed Wallace	57	59	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	2	8	15.6	16.3	-0.69	15.9	13.8	2.14
Stacey Augmon	34	33	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.08	7	5	2	15.9	15.9	-0.01	13.6	15.9	-2.33
Arvydas Sabonis	63	63	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	10	-8	16.1	15.4	0.70	15.7	13.9	1.81
Brian Grant	67	70	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	7	-2	16.0	15.4	0.68	15.1	15.2	-0.18
Isaiah Rider	59	62	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	13	-14	16.1	15.5	0.63	15.2	14.9	0.27
Damon Stoudamire	56	57	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	16	-20	16.3	15.2	1.05	15.8	14.0	1.80
Jermaine O'Neal	22	24	-0.18	0.69	-0.87	-0.07	-4	16	-20	17.9	15.2	2.64	14.1	15.5	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.46,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.72,0.77,0.86,0.92,0.98,0.93,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 108, SAC 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.64,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.76,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,1	93.4%
DET 100, MIL 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.48,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.76,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,1	93.4%
CHA 78, TOR 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.87,0.83,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.96,1,1,1	93.4%