inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 96 Excitement7.0 [376] MVPBlue Edwards (VAN): +16.5%
Vancouver Grizzlies 107 Comeback1.4 [804] LVPShareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): -23.3%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brian Shaw0.120,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.100.030.011567%0.161-0.0400%0.00
Joe Smith0.110,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.110.090.020.001964%0.141-0.0312100%0.08
Adonal Foyle0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.010.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Todd Fuller0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.00662%0.071-0.064100%0.03
Felton Spencer0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Duane Ferrell-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01542%-0.0200.00250%-0.00
Muggsy Bogues-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Erick Dampier-0.100,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.05-0.01843%-0.061-0.03560%-0.02
Tony Delk-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14-0.08-0.06-0.00941%-0.072-0.07475%-0.01
Bimbo Coles-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17-0.10-0.09-0.01825%-0.132-0.0500%0.00
Donyell Marshall-0.190,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.13-0.06-0.001113%-0.1900.001100%0.00

Vancouver Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Blue Edwards0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.170.130.060.03790%0.1700.006100%0.03
Pete Chilcutt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.10.100.040.060.00475%0.1000.0000%0.00
Otis Thorpe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.030.001162%0.122-0.07250%-0.02
Lee Mayberry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.01150%0.0100.002100%0.01
Tony Massenburg0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Sam Mack0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.020.031346%-0.0300.0000%0.00
George Lynch0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.040.000.011055%0.043-0.0820%-0.05
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.01861%0.064-0.12250%-0.01
Bryant Reeves0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.000.01845%-0.041-0.02425%-0.04
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.15-0.09-0.011743%-0.143-0.091377%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.82.526.414.727.22.732.2128.3
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
VAN +53.4%
GSW -4.8%
VAN +15.6%
GSW -13.0%
GSW -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWVANNBAGSWVANNBA
this game16.314.015.6101.1112.6102.5
season15.615.192.9101.3
opponent15.315.0109.1102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW16.517.714.916.416.3
VAN13.015.813.913.614.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Duane Ferrell26260.21-0.710.920.075-162114.816.9-2.1314.213.90.26
Felton Spencer23-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-10919.516.23.258.714.2-5.51
Brian Shaw6967-0.12-0.380.26-0.213-141715.319.0-3.6414.712.42.28
Tony Delk5151-0.15-0.350.190.20-121-1315.717.0-1.2712.316.0-3.68
Muggsy Bogues1315-0.16-0.340.17-0.05-4-7319.915.74.1811.114.5-3.48
Joe Smith7270-0.19-0.310.12-0.13-2-9716.017.3-1.3014.313.21.03
Todd Fuller3639-0.20-0.300.09-0.324-151918.115.22.9414.014.0-0.00
Adonal Foyle2122-0.30-0.20-0.090.03-110-1117.915.92.0410.415.1-4.73
Donyell Marshall4343-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.18-6-5-117.015.71.3315.312.92.42
Erick Dampier8078-0.550.05-0.60-0.14-143-1715.918.5-2.5514.611.33.30
Bimbo Coles6261-0.660.16-0.81-0.16-176-2316.516.00.4814.912.42.52

Vancouver Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lee Mayberry36360.60-0.100.690.1316-52113.714.2-0.5417.915.32.58
Blue Edwards39400.58-0.080.660.1415-41914.313.80.4817.415.51.83
Pete Chilcutt32320.57-0.070.640.3192715.313.31.9818.315.33.06
George Lynch41420.360.140.220.07101911.915.6-3.7317.115.71.35
Otis Thorpe78770.320.180.140.0983513.914.6-0.7915.519.7-4.20
Shareef Abdur-Rahim72700.120.38-0.26-0.0356-114.711.92.7515.020.0-5.05
Bryant Reeves52530.090.41-0.320.09011-1114.014.0-0.0416.815.71.08
Tony Massenburg10110.040.46-0.420.01110-914.913.91.0119.315.93.34
Sam Mack5655-0.080.58-0.660.04-415-1913.814.3-0.4815.517.4-1.83
Antonio Daniels5959-0.100.60-0.690.05-516-2114.213.70.5415.317.9-2.58


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.78,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 105, NYK 1100.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.95,193.5%
MIA 102, BOS 1070.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.58,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.67,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.91,192.9%
POR 92, CHA 1010.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.43,0.57,0.73,0.64,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,192.9%