NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	92		Excitement	6.7 [437]		MVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): +26.7%
Charlotte Bobcats	101		Comeback	1.6 [667]		LVP	Jeff McInnis (CHA): -11.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.15	0.07	0.02	8	86%	0.24	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Steve Blake	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.01	8	87%	0.16	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	15	47%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Joel Przybilla	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Travis Outlaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.03	10	40%	0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	0.01	6	44%	0.00	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	10	43%	0.00	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Brandon Roy	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	13	47%	0.02	3	-0.10	10	90%	0.05

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.12	0.15	-0.00	12	71%	0.29	2	-0.03	10	90%	0.04
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.12	-0.01	21	56%	0.21	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.04
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	2	125%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	19	56%	0.18	3	-0.10	10	70%	-0.03
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.02	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	9	28%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	4	25%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.6	30.2	15.6	24.4	2.6	35.0	136.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +36.6%

POR -16.6%

CHA +18.9%

CHA +11.7%

POR -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CHA	NBA	POR	CHA	NBA
this game	15.6	15.2	15.4	100.0	106.3	105.7
season	16.7	15.8		105.5	103.1
opponent	15.1	15.4		107.8	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.6	19.2	15.6	14.0	15.6
CHA	13.1	15.3	19.4	13.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh McRoberts	2	2	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.01	3	-12	15	9.0	15.8	-6.78	7.0	15.4	-8.35
Channing Frye	51	51	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-8	7	15.2	16.2	-1.06	16.9	13.2	3.76
Sergio Rodriguez	10	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-4	-1	18.2	15.3	2.88	16.2	15.0	1.13
Joel Przybilla	24	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-6	3	17.7	14.9	2.81	15.3	15.1	0.12
Steve Blake	64	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-8	7	15.4	16.1	-0.63	14.7	16.3	-1.68
Jarrett Jack	58	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-5	1	15.6	15.7	-0.17	14.7	16.1	-1.46
Travis Outlaw	61	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-4	-1	15.9	15.0	0.90	15.5	14.5	1.02
Brandon Roy	79	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	-3	-3	15.0	19.5	-4.46	14.9	16.8	-1.84
Martell Webster	70	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	1	-11	15.6	15.7	-0.13	15.7	13.6	2.13
LaMarcus Aldridge	41	42	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.25	-13	4	-17	15.9	15.4	0.49	13.8	16.3	-2.54

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emeka Okafor	70	69	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.20	17	-8	25	15.4	14.5	0.89	16.0	14.5	1.54
Raymond Felton	75	72	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.35	12	-3	15	14.6	17.3	-2.69	15.6	15.7	-0.15
Gerald Wallace	83	80	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.30	10	-1	11	14.9	16.9	-1.99	15.4	17.2	-1.77
Jason Richardson	78	76	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.17	14	-5	19	15.1	15.5	-0.36	16.1	13.6	2.43
Primoz Brezec	23	23	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.00	8	1	7	15.5	15.1	0.45	15.0	15.8	-0.84
Matt Carroll	64	62	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	8	-7	15.1	15.3	-0.12	15.5	16.0	-0.50
Walter Herrmann	18	18	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.07	-3	12	-15	14.2	15.4	-1.25	13.3	16.2	-2.92
Ryan Hollins	21	20	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	13	-17	16.2	14.9	1.30	16.5	15.4	1.17
Jared Dudley	7	6	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.06	-1	10	-11	15.0	15.2	-0.19	19.2	15.4	3.78
Jeff McInnis	36	34	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	-0.09	-9	18	-27	16.4	14.4	1.99	15.3	15.8	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.43,0.57,0.73,0.64,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 88, UTA 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.81,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.52,0.43,0.54,0.71,0.64,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
PHI 76, IND 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.7,0.74,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.83,0.94,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
OKC 90, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.86,0.96,1	93.1%