NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	88		Excitement	6.9 [343]		MVP	Michael Redd (PHX): +16.6%
Utah Jazz	100		Comeback	1.6 [633]		LVP	Marcin Gortat (PHX): -15.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.07	-0.01	11	60%	0.17	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Jared Dudley	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	13	52%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Josh Childress	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	10	60%	0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	5	54%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Grant Hill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	9	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	5	45%	0.08	3	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	11	50%	0.09	5	-0.14	6	100%	0.05
Markieff Morris	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	8	35%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Marcin Gortat	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	8	12%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	3	80%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.03	0.09	-0.04	12	54%	0.19	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.02	0.03	18	55%	0.10	2	-0.06	11	55%	-0.08
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Al Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	18	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	11	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	11	50%	0.02	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.7	31.0	18.5	30.3	2.8	38.3	145.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +15.9%

PHX -1.5%

UTA +26.2%

UTA +8.9%

UTA +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	UTA	NBA	PHX	UTA	NBA
this game	13.7	15.3	15.6	88.0	101.0	102.8
season	15.0	15.8		104.7	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.7		104.7	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.5	12.8	14.5	13.0	13.7
UTA	16.1	14.9	14.3	15.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Childress	8	8	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.01	2	-14	16	12.9	13.7	-0.88	16.9	15.1	1.74
Sebastian Telfair	26	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-13	14	12.7	14.0	-1.28	15.0	15.4	-0.32
Robin Lopez	42	43	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-11	10	13.4	13.9	-0.56	14.4	15.9	-1.55
Hakim Warrick	49	46	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-8	4	14.1	13.3	0.87	14.6	15.9	-1.28
Grant Hill	6	5	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-6	0	13.5	13.7	-0.19	13.0	15.4	-2.39
Michael Redd	45	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-5	-2	13.8	13.5	0.30	13.4	16.8	-3.39
Markieff Morris	45	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-7	2	14.1	13.3	0.82	17.7	13.2	4.53
Shannon Brown	71	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.19	-6	-6	0	13.3	14.5	-1.18	15.3	15.2	0.10
Marcin Gortat	58	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	-1	-10	13.9	13.4	0.56	15.9	14.4	1.55
Jared Dudley	76	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	-2	-8	13.4	14.4	-0.97	15.3	15.3	-0.02
Steve Nash	74	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.08	-13	1	-14	14.0	12.7	1.28	15.4	15.0	0.32

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	85	85	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.21	21	-9	30	14.9	17.5	-2.59	13.8	13.3	0.49
Devin Harris	68	67	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.22	16	-4	20	16.4	12.9	3.45	14.1	12.8	1.38
Derrick Favors	60	61	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.18	15	-3	18	14.9	15.8	-0.90	13.4	14.2	-0.82
Al Jefferson	77	78	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.14	15	-3	18	15.6	14.1	1.46	13.8	13.3	0.46
Gordon Hayward	84	86	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.12	14	-2	16	15.2	15.8	-0.62	14.0	11.9	2.04
DeMarre Carroll	38	38	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	10	-8	15.6	15.1	0.50	14.6	13.1	1.53
Josh Howard	11	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	14	-16	17.3	15.0	2.25	13.2	13.7	-0.56
Jamaal Tinsley	32	34	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.07	-4	16	-20	12.9	16.4	-3.54	12.6	14.2	-1.61
Enes Kanter	15	16	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.10	-7	19	-26	15.7	15.2	0.54	12.7	13.9	-1.11
Alec Burks	25	24	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	-0.07	-10	22	-32	15.2	15.3	-0.10	12.5	14.1	-1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.81,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.52,0.43,0.54,0.71,0.64,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, CHA 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.43,0.57,0.73,0.64,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,1	94.3%
MIL 85, MIN 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.72,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.7,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.79,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	92.9%
PHI 76, IND 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.7,0.74,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.83,0.94,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	92.8%