NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	76		Excitement	5.9 [629]		MVP	Vonteego Cummings (PHI): +12.3%
Indiana Pacers	86		Comeback	1.2 [665]		LVP	Matt Harpring (PHI): -22.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vonteego Cummings	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.01	6	71%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Corie Blount	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	57%	0.00	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Samuel Dalembert	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	13	36%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Aaron McKie	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	15	38%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Speedy Claxton	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.03	17	27%	-0.15	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.16,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.14	-0.08	0.00	14	37%	-0.07	4	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.01	-0.03	8	65%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.06	0.01	14	53%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	9	54%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Richardson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Sundov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	10	45%	0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	7	43%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.00	0.01	14	48%	0.02	5	-0.13	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.5	27.6	16.7	28.2	2.5	27.3	126.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +65.8%

IND +2.9%

PHI -3.9%

PHI -17.8%

IND +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	15.6	15.7	15.6	81.7	94.5	102.3
season	15.9	15.3		99.3	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.6		100.9	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	18.5	14.2	13.7	16.3	15.6
IND	14.3	16.4	16.3	15.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vonteego Cummings	22	21	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.09	6	-16	22	12.0	16.7	-4.73	19.0	14.7	4.36
Samuel Dalembert	8	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.09	3	-13	16	9.0	16.2	-7.24	20.7	15.2	5.55
Corie Blount	51	48	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-15	20	14.8	16.5	-1.70	15.6	15.8	-0.27
Derrick Coleman	47	47	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-12	14	16.1	15.1	0.95	16.5	14.8	1.65
Speedy Claxton	60	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.21	-1	-9	8	14.5	17.6	-3.04	16.1	14.9	1.18
Dikembe Mutombo	63	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.06	-12	2	-14	15.6	15.7	-0.08	15.5	16.1	-0.55
Aaron McKie	41	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.00	-11	1	-12	18.4	13.4	4.97	14.6	16.5	-1.95
Derrick McKey	39	38	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.08	-11	1	-12	16.8	14.8	2.04	13.5	17.2	-3.72
Eric Snow	71	68	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.23	-11	1	-12	15.3	16.6	-1.34	15.5	16.1	-0.59
Matt Harpring	63	62	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.11	-20	10	-30	16.9	13.0	3.86	15.4	16.3	-0.96

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	75	78	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.17	15	-5	20	15.3	17.6	-2.27	16.4	11.6	4.78
Jalen Rose	69	69	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.23	9	1	8	15.0	17.9	-2.86	16.3	13.7	2.51
Travis Best	52	54	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.14	8	2	6	16.5	14.6	1.97	14.6	17.1	-2.52
Austin Croshere	34	33	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.11	8	2	6	15.1	16.1	-0.96	16.7	15.0	1.73
Jonathan Bender	59	61	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.10	8	2	6	15.7	15.6	0.10	15.5	15.8	-0.30
Jermaine O'Neal	70	72	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.07	8	2	6	16.1	14.4	1.64	15.6	15.7	-0.13
Reggie Miller	31	32	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	6	-2	15.9	15.6	0.37	16.7	15.0	1.69
Jamaal Tinsley	52	53	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	11	-12	15.4	16.1	-0.63	16.2	14.8	1.34
Bruno Sundov	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	15	-20	20.0	15.4	4.56	4.6	16.2	-11.64
Primoz Brezec	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	17.0	15.6	1.37	4.7	16.1	-11.35
Norman Richardson	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	17.0	15.6	1.37	4.7	16.1	-11.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.7,0.74,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.83,0.94,0.96,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, CHA 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.43,0.57,0.73,0.64,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,1	94.1%
MIL 85, MIN 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.72,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.7,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.79,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.1%
UTA 95, MIL 100	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.74,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%