NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	78		Excitement	3.6 [666]		MVP	Jason Caffey (GSW): +7.0%
Golden State Warriors	90		Comeback	1.2 [235]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -14.1%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Stepania	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	87%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Drew Barry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	12	70%	0.07	5	-0.08	6	100%	0.02
Rashard Lewis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Dale Ellis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	8	33%	-0.06	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.02
Vin Baker	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.18	-0.00	-0.06	11	30%	-0.09	3	-0.04	8	62%	-0.02
Gary Payton	-0.14	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.01	0.03	19	39%	-0.13	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Caffey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	8	78%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	13	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.08	12	45%	0.03	1	-0.00	5	60%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	16	53%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.03
John Starks	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	20	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.0	30.0	15.7	26.6	1.8	31.2	130.6
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +27.9%

SEA -8.9%

GSW +10.1%

GSW +16.5%

GSW +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	GSW	NBA	SEA	GSW	NBA
this game	15.5	17.6	15.8	89.7	103.4	99.6
season	15.4	15.9		102.4	95.1
opponent	15.5	15.9		98.1	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.7	13.9	18.2	14.7	15.5
GSW	16.4	16.8	18.7	18.7	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Barry	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-13	14	10.5	15.6	-5.12	15.3	17.7	-2.35
Vladimir Stepania	26	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.22	7	-19	26	16.0	15.3	0.70	17.3	17.7	-0.44
Rashard Lewis	9	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-10	8	13.3	15.8	-2.42	16.2	17.7	-1.48
Billy Owens	9	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-7	2	13.6	15.7	-2.18	15.9	17.7	-1.89
Dale Ellis	47	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-12	12	14.4	16.8	-2.35	18.0	17.1	0.94
Aaron Williams	30	28	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	-2	-8	16.4	15.0	1.42	16.5	18.1	-1.57
Detlef Schrempf	64	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-8	4	14.8	17.4	-2.62	17.9	16.9	1.00
Vin Baker	64	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	-4	-4	15.8	14.6	1.28	18.2	15.8	2.38
Olden Polynice	38	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	1	-14	16.8	14.5	2.23	17.2	17.9	-0.71
Hersey Hawkins	61	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	1	-14	15.9	14.7	1.22	17.6	17.6	-0.04
Gary Payton	85	84	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	1	-14	15.6	10.5	5.12	17.7	15.3	2.35

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	61	60	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	-2	16	17.6	17.5	0.08	15.8	14.9	0.95
Bimbo Coles	53	52	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	-4	20	18.0	17.0	1.03	16.3	14.4	1.90
John Starks	71	70	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.13	10	2	8	18.1	15.2	2.95	15.8	14.2	1.65
Jason Caffey	48	48	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.05	15	-3	18	17.4	17.9	-0.50	17.1	13.6	3.47
Donyell Marshall	50	49	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.08	14	-2	16	17.3	18.1	-0.79	16.7	13.9	2.77
Antawn Jamison	46	47	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.28	-5	17	-22	17.5	17.7	-0.12	13.5	17.8	-4.29
Adonal Foyle	19	18	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	12	-12	20.4	16.8	3.61	15.2	15.6	-0.43
Tony Delk	16	17	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.01	2	10	-8	15.2	18.1	-2.95	14.2	15.8	-1.65
Felton Spencer	11	13	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.04	1	11	-10	15.5	17.9	-2.45	12.5	16.0	-3.58
Muggsy Bogues	37	37	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	17	-22	16.8	18.2	-1.32	14.2	16.5	-2.34
Terry Cummings	23	24	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	14	-16	17.8	17.5	0.31	15.4	15.6	-0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 92, ORL 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
UTA 91, SAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
OKC 74, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%