inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 74 Excitement3.3 [1169] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +8.9%
San Antonio Spurs 101 Comeback1.0 [1163] LVPRussell Westbrook (OKC): -15.8%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nenad Krstic0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.01550%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Kevin Durant0.010,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.00-0.031547%0.052-0.05450%-0.02
Royal Ivey-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02367%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Byron Mullens-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03430%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
DJ White-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0430%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.031344%0.002-0.02667%-0.00
James Harden-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.021146%-0.013-0.03475%0.00
Nick Collison-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.0120%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jeff Green-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.00-0.02932%-0.041-0.02475%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.0020%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Eric Maynor-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.01729%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.160,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.17-0.01-0.021133%-0.046-0.112100%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.01-0.001564%0.122-0.03333%-0.02
Richard Jefferson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.01-0.00753%0.0500.001100%0.01
Tony Parker0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.001070%0.093-0.0500%0.00
George Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.010.031067%0.053-0.044100%0.01
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.011346%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Chris Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ime Udoka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.02050%0.001-0.01250%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.040.000.05383%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Gary Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.090.00-0.071025%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Tiago Splitter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.040.000.01737%-0.051-0.002100%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.031135%-0.012-0.04475%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.32.428.415.422.31.827.0123.6
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +35.7%
OKC -1.4%
SAS +1.0%
SAS +14.4%
SAS +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCSASNBAOKCSASNBA
this game13.714.815.573.3100.0105.7
season15.015.5108.8109.3
opponent15.215.6103.6105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC13.111.316.613.813.7
SAS13.017.012.716.814.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Byron Mullens1515-0.00-0.500.500.18-6-211514.013.60.3715.914.71.22
Royal Ivey2324-0.00-0.500.490.08-3-242113.813.70.1316.814.22.57
DJ White2324-0.00-0.500.490.08-3-242113.813.70.1316.814.22.57
Eric Maynor3638-0.18-0.320.130.05-8-191113.913.50.4115.514.41.03
Nick Collison2929-0.21-0.290.080.20-14-13-114.113.50.5915.314.70.62
Serge Ibaka6464-0.22-0.280.060.22-15-12-313.114.7-1.5716.012.73.32
Thabo Sefolosha4543-0.23-0.270.050.01-8-191113.014.2-1.2313.815.6-1.85
Russell Westbrook5856-0.28-0.22-0.060.02-10-17713.214.4-1.2014.015.9-1.95
Nenad Krstic3434-0.28-0.22-0.060.07-12-15315.013.01.9412.616.0-3.38
James Harden4951-0.29-0.21-0.080.33-21-6-1514.612.81.7315.514.11.37
Jeff Green6059-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.03-11-16513.414.1-0.7414.515.3-0.86
Kevin Durant6968-0.45-0.05-0.400.25-24-3-2113.613.8-0.1413.816.9-3.04

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili54560.400.100.30-0.212161514.215.6-1.3913.613.8-0.17
Tim Duncan59600.380.120.27-0.081611513.916.2-2.2913.713.70.00
Tony Parker63640.350.150.20-0.061413113.916.4-2.5513.613.8-0.20
Richard Jefferson47490.310.190.11-0.051215-314.215.4-1.1613.214.2-0.97
Matt Bonner50510.270.230.04-0.231710715.913.82.0813.214.2-1.06
George Hill42410.240.26-0.01-0.02918-915.814.21.6314.513.11.44
DeJuan Blair53530.230.27-0.04-0.181413113.915.8-1.9114.512.81.66
Ime Udoka42400.120.38-0.26-0.14918-915.814.11.6713.413.8-0.39
Tiago Splitter40380.120.38-0.27-0.09720-1316.114.02.1413.313.9-0.63
Gary Neal40380.070.43-0.35-0.221017-715.514.41.1513.813.60.13
Chris Quinn15150.000.50-0.50-0.18621-1515.914.71.2214.013.60.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 95, LAC 1060.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
MEM 94, MIL 1000.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
UTA 91, SAC 1110.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%