NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	94		Excitement	2.9 [1199]		MVP	Michael Redd (MIL): +12.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	100		Comeback	1.0 [1108]		LVP	Chucky Atkins (MEM): -8.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakim Warrick	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.13	-0.01	0.09	19	66%	0.09	3	-0.05	9	100%	0.02
Alexander Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	71%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	62%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	7	79%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	4	42%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.02
Mike Miller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	7	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	9	41%	-0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.03	8	56%	-0.03	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	6	40%	-0.02	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.02	0.05	16	66%	0.12	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.18	0.00	0.09	18	70%	0.12	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.02
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	69%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Damir Markota	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	5	20%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	10	52%	0.02	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.05	6	57%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	7	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	28.5	15.6	26.1	2.5	29.5	129.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +32.0%

MEM -3.5%

MIL +4.5%

MIL +15.8%

MIL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIL	NBA	MEM	MIL	NBA
this game	17.5	15.1	15.4	106.8	112.4	104.5
season	15.1	15.2		105.1	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.1		109.9	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	18.2	16.0	19.3	16.4	17.5
MIL	16.9	14.6	12.5	16.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tarence Kinsey	27	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.46	15	-21	36	16.5	18.0	-1.47	16.0	14.6	1.40
Rudy Gay	42	44	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.41	10	-16	26	17.6	17.4	0.18	15.0	15.1	-0.11
Alexander Johnson	23	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.26	5	-11	16	17.0	17.7	-0.62	12.8	15.8	-3.01
Brian Cardinal	40	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.45	10	-16	26	17.4	17.6	-0.18	15.1	15.0	0.03
Chucky Atkins	35	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	1	-8	16.7	18.0	-1.26	16.4	14.2	2.17
Damon Stoudamire	51	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-8	10	17.8	17.0	0.82	14.1	16.4	-2.29
Hakim Warrick	63	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.15	-7	1	-8	17.7	16.9	0.81	15.6	13.8	1.80
Jake Tsakalidis	42	42	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.05	-14	8	-22	17.7	17.3	0.32	15.8	14.4	1.34
Dahntay Jones	54	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.16	-20	14	-34	17.6	17.4	0.24	14.9	15.3	-0.38
Mike Miller	63	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.23	-24	18	-42	17.8	16.7	1.15	14.7	16.0	-1.30

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	64	61	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.13	23	-17	40	14.4	16.8	-2.37	18.1	16.2	1.90
Charlie Bell	63	63	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.23	26	-20	46	14.5	16.3	-1.82	18.2	15.8	2.32
Ruben Patterson	57	56	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.02	16	-10	26	15.5	14.3	1.21	17.4	17.6	-0.20
Andrew Bogut	56	58	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.19	21	-15	36	15.5	14.3	1.20	17.0	18.5	-1.47
Michael Redd	61	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	-10	26	15.2	14.8	0.34	17.5	17.5	-0.03
David Noel	35	36	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.35	-10	16	-26	15.9	14.5	1.32	17.5	17.5	-0.00
Dan Gadzuric	18	18	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.23	-6	12	-18	14.1	15.3	-1.25	19.7	16.9	2.79
Charlie Villanueva	32	32	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.34	-10	16	-26	14.3	15.5	-1.21	17.6	17.4	0.20
Damir Markota	3	2	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	5	-4	11.7	15.2	-3.51	16.0	17.5	-1.53
Brian Skinner	12	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.30	-10	16	-26	15.3	15.0	0.32	16.7	17.6	-0.90
Ersan Ilyasova	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	16	-26	14.4	15.1	-0.68	12.0	17.9	-5.90
Steve Blake	37	37	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.75	-27	33	-60	16.3	14.2	2.12	16.3	18.4	-2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 99, MIA 124	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
OKC 74, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
MIN 93, OKC 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%