NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Excitement	3.1 [1116]		MVP	John Amaechi (ORL): +9.6%
Orlando Magic	111		Comeback	1.0 [1055]		LVP	Lamond Murray (CLE): -10.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	11	58%	0.03	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.01
J.R. Reid	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Trajan Langdon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Hawkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	16	61%	0.06	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Andre Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	10	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Chris Gatling	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.01	13	54%	-0.01	2	-0.04	9	56%	-0.01
Cedric Henderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	0.00	-0.07	14	29%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	11	33%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Amaechi	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.00	-0.03	14	74%	0.16	4	-0.07	7	57%	-0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.02	5	100%	0.10	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	12	50%	0.07	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.05	6	69%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	7	41%	-0.03	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	18	39%	-0.06	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	29.4	16.3	28.0	1.8	33.2	134.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +30.8%

ORL +7.9%

CLE -0.3%

ORL +10.0%

ORL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ORL	NBA	CLE	ORL	NBA
this game	14.4	14.4	15.5	91.1	112.1	100.9
season	15.3	14.6		98.4	101.6
opponent	15.8	15.6		100.8	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	18.1	14.8	14.5	11.0	14.4
ORL	13.2	15.2	12.7	16.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Hawkins	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-19	19	11.2	14.5	-3.29	13.7	14.4	-0.67
J.R. Reid	17	17	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.12	-7	-12	5	14.6	14.4	0.29	14.5	14.4	0.09
Trajan Langdon	17	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.08	-6	-13	7	13.9	14.5	-0.56	15.9	14.1	1.81
Robert Traylor	37	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.01	-5	-14	9	14.7	14.2	0.47	14.9	14.1	0.75
Cedric Henderson	55	54	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-14	9	15.1	13.6	1.42	13.6	15.4	-1.80
Lamond Murray	54	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-8	-3	15.2	13.5	1.75	14.3	14.5	-0.20
Chris Gatling	65	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	-7	-5	14.0	15.1	-1.01	14.2	14.8	-0.63
Matt Harpring	71	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.12	-17	-2	-15	14.0	15.4	-1.41	14.4	14.4	0.04
Clar. Weatherspoon	72	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.02	-14	-5	-9	15.0	13.0	1.97	14.2	15.0	-0.85
Andre Miller	70	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	-2	-15	14.6	13.9	0.77	15.2	12.5	2.67

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	75	75	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.13	22	-3	25	14.6	13.7	0.85	15.5	11.3	4.12
Bo Outlaw	57	56	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.16	22	-3	25	13.3	15.9	-2.54	15.8	12.7	3.14
Darrell Armstrong	63	63	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.09	18	1	17	13.8	15.5	-1.69	16.0	11.7	4.32
John Amaechi	73	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	3	13	14.7	13.7	1.00	14.3	14.8	-0.51
Michael Doleac	50	52	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.15	19	0	19	14.1	14.7	-0.51	15.4	13.4	1.98
Pat Garrity	57	58	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	19	-19	14.7	13.9	0.81	13.4	15.8	-2.41
Troy Hudson	36	38	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.03	1	18	-17	15.5	13.8	1.69	11.7	16.0	-4.32
Don Reid	11	10	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	18	-17	11.3	14.8	-3.51	15.6	14.3	1.33
Mike Miller	43	45	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.10	-2	21	-23	15.3	13.7	1.69	13.2	15.4	-2.26
Andrew DeClercq	8	9	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	19	-19	15.6	14.3	1.34	13.7	14.5	-0.81
Monty Williams	22	25	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	14.5	14.4	0.19	10.9	15.6	-4.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 91, SAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
MIL 93, BKN 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	97.0%
NJN 95, LAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%