NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	111		Excitement	7.3 [197]		MVP	Chris Mills (GSW): +10.1%
Golden State Warriors	105		Comeback	5.5 [118]		LVP	Erick Dampier (GSW): -28.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.07	0.03	6	67%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Chris Webber	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.04	0.10	-0.00	14	56%	0.14	3	-0.08	8	50%	-0.05
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0.06	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	9	75%	0.12	3	-0.07	6	67%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	13	59%	0.08	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Jon Barry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	65%	0.04	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.04
Vernon Maxwell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.03	0.02	6	67%	0.01	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22	-0.15	-0.09	-0.01	16	38%	-0.18	2	-0.04	10	60%	-0.04

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.01	0.02	14	75%	0.17	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	9	40%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.08,0,0,0	0.00	0.14	-0.07	0.07	13	88%	0.15	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	8	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	11	42%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
John Starks	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.07	-0.02	15	43%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.15	-0.12	0.00	9	22%	-0.15	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.8	27.1	16.4	21.6	3.3	35.6	129.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +16.7%

SAC +14.6%

GSW -0.2%

SAC +19.6%

GSW -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	GSW	NBA	SAC	GSW	NBA
this game	13.3	15.7	15.8	112.1	106.1	99.6
season	14.1	15.9		100.1	95.1
opponent	15.5	15.5		98.1	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.4	13.0	15.1	13.0	13.3
GSW	12.8	17.7	17.0	16.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	83	82	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.40	16	-10	26	12.4	18.0	-5.55	15.0	19.2	-4.14
Peja Stojakovic	42	43	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.40	13	-7	20	13.8	13.0	0.77	17.3	14.6	2.75
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	66	67	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.31	6	0	6	12.3	15.3	-2.98	14.6	18.1	-3.42
Jason Williams	67	68	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.34	5	1	4	12.6	15.0	-2.45	14.4	18.6	-4.22
Chris Webber	79	79	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	8	-10	13.4	13.0	0.37	15.4	17.0	-1.57
Jon Barry	32	31	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	5	-4	15.0	12.6	2.45	18.6	14.4	4.22
Vernon Maxwell	33	32	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	6	-6	15.3	12.3	2.98	18.1	14.6	3.42
Lawrence Funderburke	36	37	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	8	-10	15.2	12.3	3.00	18.0	14.4	3.60
Corliss Williamson	57	56	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.07	-7	13	-20	13.0	13.8	-0.77	14.6	17.3	-2.75

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Cummings	47	48	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.09	10	-16	26	15.3	16.2	-0.94	13.1	13.6	-0.46
Tony Delk	33	32	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.12	1	-7	8	15.7	15.8	-0.08	14.7	12.7	1.99
Donyell Marshall	75	74	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.12	5	-11	16	14.6	19.4	-4.79	13.2	13.9	-0.72
Jason Caffey	32	31	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.22	8	-14	22	18.9	14.2	4.67	17.4	11.5	5.84
Felton Spencer	18	18	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	1	-8	17.1	15.5	1.60	10.1	14.1	-4.02
Adonal Foyle	21	22	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.06	-12	6	-18	15.6	15.8	-0.16	11.4	13.9	-2.55
John Starks	74	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-3	0	16.4	13.7	2.77	13.4	13.3	0.10
Erick Dampier	43	42	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.26	-9	3	-12	15.3	16.1	-0.75	14.4	12.6	1.76
Chris Mills	72	72	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.38	-11	5	-16	15.4	16.7	-1.31	12.6	15.3	-2.69
Bimbo Coles	80	83	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.44	-12	6	-18	15.5	16.7	-1.16	13.0	15.3	-2.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.25,0.26,0.39,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.85,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.31,0.16,0.09,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 121, ORL 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.37,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.32,0.15,0.1,0.01,0	91.7%
DEN 113, HOU 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.6,0.38,0.21,0.1,0.1,0	91.1%
IND 102, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.44,0.3,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.02,0	91.0%