NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	102		Excitement	7.4 [352]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +24.3%
Boston Celtics	97		Comeback	2.0 [752]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -11.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.04,0.02,0.11,0.24,0.24	0.10	0.15	0.01	21	57%	0.28	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.04
Luis Scola	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	3	100%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Evan Turner	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.06	0.00	13	52%	0.11	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Lance Stephenson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	8	73%	0.11	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
David West	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	9	55%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Ian Mahinmi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.00	10	65%	0.13	3	-0.14	3	100%	0.02
CJ Watson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.10	0.00	15	51%	0.15	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.02	22	54%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.05,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.01	13	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Chris Babb	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	0.00	12	38%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	-0.00	11	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	12	46%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.5	29.6	15.4	23.3	1.7	36.4	132.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +58.7%

IND +4.2%

BOS -11.8%

IND +1.5%

BOS -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	15.2	16.2	15.1	110.9	105.4	105.2
season	15.8	15.4		102.7	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.2		106.0	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.1	14.4	16.3	14.9	15.2
BOS	14.3	15.6	15.7	19.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	82	82	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.38	12	-7	19	14.8	18.0	-3.20	16.6	12.1	4.55
Evan Turner	50	50	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.35	7	-2	9	14.9	15.5	-0.55	16.9	15.3	1.59
Roy Hibbert	60	61	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.24	9	-4	13	15.8	13.8	2.01	16.4	15.6	0.81
David West	59	58	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.35	-3	8	-11	15.6	14.3	1.28	15.7	17.0	-1.34
Luis Scola	33	34	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	-3	11	14.3	15.6	-1.28	17.0	15.7	1.34
CJ Watson	54	55	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	0	5	15.1	15.2	-0.10	16.1	16.2	-0.02
Paul George	65	64	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.30	-6	11	-17	15.8	13.6	2.21	15.5	17.7	-2.25
Ian Mahinmi	32	31	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	9	-13	13.8	15.8	-2.01	15.6	16.4	-0.81
Donald Sloan	25	25	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.04	-3	8	-11	15.2	15.1	0.07	14.8	16.6	-1.80

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Phil Pressey	19	20	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.07	0	-5	5	16.1	16.2	-0.13	13.8	15.5	-1.66
Chris Babb	4	3	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-7	9	8.2	16.5	-8.26	18.3	15.0	3.29
Joel Anthony	6	6	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-1	-3	17.7	16.0	1.62	16.2	15.1	1.09
Chris Johnson	37	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-1	-3	16.3	16.1	0.20	15.4	15.0	0.45
Brandon Bass	61	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.18	0	-5	5	15.6	17.2	-1.52	16.1	13.7	2.37
Jared Sullinger	46	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.34	1	-6	7	16.5	15.8	0.78	15.0	15.3	-0.22
Jeff Green	82	83	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-2	-1	16.4	14.5	1.85	15.2	14.4	0.78
Kris Humphries	71	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.16	-7	2	-9	16.2	16.0	0.26	14.4	18.1	-3.61
Jerryd Bayless	61	63	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.41	-5	0	-5	16.3	15.8	0.52	14.7	16.0	-1.29
Rajon Rondo	73	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.43	-5	0	-5	16.2	16.1	0.13	15.5	13.8	1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.44,0.3,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 87, MEM 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.11,0.15,0.05,0	93.2%
POR 109, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.16,0.23,0.29,0.19,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.22,0.06,0,0	92.5%
NYK 95, ATL 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.27,0.23,0.33,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.47,0.38,0.21,0.17,0.1,0	92.3%