NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	95		Excitement	8.2 [215]		MVP	Clar. Weatherspoon (NYK): +22.2%
Atlanta Hawks	92		Comeback	3.5 [256]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (ATL): -34.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.09	0.13	0.00	11	69%	0.22	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Othella Harrington	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.06	-0.00	5	80%	0.13	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.03
Charlie Ward	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.08	-0.00	8	50%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Michael Doleac	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	13	39%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Allan Houston	-0.10	0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1	0.01	-0.13	-0.01	24	48%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	6	29%	-0.14	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Latrell Sprewell	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.27,-0.27	-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	13	27%	-0.16	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.00	7	80%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	2	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.01	21	51%	0.04	2	-0.07	11	82%	0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25	-0.25	-0.11	-0.14	0.01	19	44%	-0.11	5	-0.15	1	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.34	-0.34	-0.07	-0.28	-0.00	16	41%	-0.29	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	25.5	15.3	25.7	2.4	32.4	126.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +10.8%

NYK +11.7%

NYK +14.5%

NYK +13.8%

ATL -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	16.3	14.5	15.5	102.2	97.9	101.6
season	15.6	15.1		102.6	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.5		103.1	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.2	15.2	17.0	18.3	16.3
ATL	13.6	13.6	15.7	15.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	46	45	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.40	11	-8	19	16.3	16.4	-0.12	14.8	14.2	0.64
Othella Harrington	58	57	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.43	4	-1	5	16.3	16.3	-0.03	15.1	13.6	1.48
Clar. Weatherspoon	51	52	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.32	5	-2	7	17.0	15.5	1.54	14.3	14.8	-0.49
Shandon Anderson	35	33	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	-2	7	15.1	17.1	-1.94	15.0	14.2	0.74
Allan Houston	80	83	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	-5	13	16.6	14.4	2.25	14.8	12.0	2.82
Kurt Thomas	63	65	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	3	-3	15.5	18.0	-2.43	13.7	16.2	-2.48
Latrell Sprewell	71	72	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.36	-7	10	-17	16.6	15.5	1.02	13.9	16.5	-2.57
Michael Doleac	14	14	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.13	-3	6	-9	17.4	16.1	1.22	16.5	14.1	2.36
Howard Eisley	47	49	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.01	-8	11	-19	16.4	16.3	0.12	14.2	14.8	-0.64

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Henderson	32	31	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.07	4	-7	11	14.6	14.5	0.11	16.4	16.3	0.15
Nazr Mohammed	20	21	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.09	0	-3	3	15.8	14.1	1.66	16.9	16.2	0.75
Darvin Ham	32	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-3	3	15.3	14.1	1.25	17.9	15.5	2.42
Ira Newble	63	62	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.01	-5	2	-7	14.8	13.9	0.92	15.9	17.1	-1.21
Dan Dickau	21	22	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	1	-5	15.7	14.1	1.58	15.5	16.6	-1.14
Glenn Robinson	87	86	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.45	3	-6	9	13.9	21.4	-7.50	16.5	14.0	2.51
Theo Ratliff	73	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.46	-3	0	-3	14.3	15.2	-0.96	16.2	16.9	-0.75
Jason Terry	75	73	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.57	-1	-2	1	14.0	16.3	-2.29	16.1	17.0	-0.86
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	67	67	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.54	-9	6	-15	14.5	14.5	-0.04	16.1	16.8	-0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.27,0.23,0.33,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.47,0.38,0.21,0.17,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 109, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.16,0.23,0.29,0.19,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.22,0.06,0,0	94.0%
IND 102, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.44,0.3,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.02,0	92.3%
MIA 92, WAS 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.53,0.28,0.16,0.1,0	92.2%