inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 121 Excitement7.3 [411] MVPDanilo Gallinari (DEN): +24.5%
Orlando Magic 113 Comeback2.6 [545] LVPJamal Murray (DEN): -15.6%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari0.250,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.150.100.01881%0.281-0.031090%0.04
Kenneth Faried0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.120.060.001083%0.262-0.08333%-0.06
Juan Hernangomez0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.120.03-0.00978%0.1500.0000%0.00
Will Barton0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.110.070.070.03867%0.131-0.02875%-0.01
Nikola Jokic0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.080.040.04-0.001158%0.121-0.042100%0.02
Darrell Arthur0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.010.070.01550%0.0700.0000%0.00
Jameer Nelson0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.000.07-0.00950%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Jusuf Nurkic0.050,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.02-0.001171%0.144-0.08250%-0.01
Emmanuel Mudiay-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.01633%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jamal Murray-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.08-0.09-0.01617%-0.071-0.0900%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
D.J. Augustin0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.040.07-0.02856%0.1300.002100%0.02
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.090.070.041071%0.161-0.03475%0.01
Damjan Rudez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.040.070.001150%0.1100.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.11-0.04-0.001761%0.0800.002100%0.01
Evan Fournier0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.070.070.08-0.02-0.011956%0.0700.00580%-0.00
Jodie Meeks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.05-0.00437%0.0400.0000%0.00
Mario Hezonja0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.07-0.030.02769%0.0200.002100%0.01
Stephen Zimmerman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.030.00950%-0.0200.00633%-0.08
Elfrid Payton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.13-0.02-0.051030%-0.044-0.07333%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.91.827.315.429.52.835.3138.1
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +54.7%
ORL -0.9%
DEN +28.0%
ORL -28.5%
ORL -3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENORLNBADENORLNBA
this game14.115.614.8123.5117.7107.7
season14.414.6111.6103.0
opponent14.914.5109.8111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.213.613.816.214.1
ORL14.514.614.419.815.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Jokic50510.70-0.200.900.0622-143615.113.02.0616.514.71.78
Jameer Nelson52510.66-0.160.820.1617-92614.613.60.9916.015.10.91
Danilo Gallinari70670.51-0.010.520.3944013.316.0-2.7215.116.7-1.59
Will Barton50490.430.070.360.3726-413.514.7-1.2915.815.40.41
Juan Hernangomez35340.350.150.210.1862415.313.41.8116.615.11.51
Jamal Murray44430.280.220.06-0.1314-62015.013.41.6115.715.60.11
Darrell Arthur47460.110.39-0.280.26-513-1813.314.8-1.4815.715.50.24
Kenneth Faried5049-0.030.53-0.56-0.0926-414.114.10.0214.916.4-1.55
Jusuf Nurkic4543-0.200.70-0.900.12-1119-3013.714.4-0.7015.016.1-1.16
Emmanuel Mudiay4747-0.310.81-1.120.01-1119-3013.814.4-0.6315.216.0-0.79

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Damjan Rudez1090.03-0.530.570.06-1-7620.215.15.1220.413.47.00
Jeff Green5453-0.07-0.430.350.13-7-1-615.116.3-1.2813.914.3-0.41
Jodie Meeks2628-0.10-0.400.300.02-4-4015.215.8-0.6313.914.2-0.28
Stephen Zimmerman1415-0.14-0.360.220.07-7-1-614.515.8-1.3013.914.1-0.19
Bismack Biyombo6870-0.14-0.360.22-0.347-152215.715.50.1614.313.60.68
Mario Hezonja1313-0.18-0.320.150.06-80-816.115.50.5314.814.00.87
Elfrid Payton5655-0.18-0.320.150.15-113-1415.016.5-1.5614.214.00.21
Evan Fournier7880-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.352-101215.317.0-1.7113.715.7-2.00
D.J. Augustin4851-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.34-1-7615.615.6-0.0213.215.1-1.95
Serge Ibaka7172-0.530.03-0.57-0.42-4-4015.914.90.9414.014.4-0.40
Aaron Gordon4244-0.540.04-0.58-0.36-6-2-416.714.72.0014.513.80.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.37,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.32,0.15,0.1,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 113, HOU 1090.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.6,0.38,0.21,0.1,0.1,092.4%
SAC 111, GSW 1050.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.25,0.26,0.39,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.85,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.31,0.16,0.09,0,091.7%
TOR 123, DAL 1200.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.45,0.29,0.33,0.02,091.5%