NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	86		Excitement	4.7 [529]		MVP	Ervin Johnson (MIL): +4.8%
Washington Wizards	98		Comeback	2.7 [183]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -11.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ervin Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	78%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Adonis Jordan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Armen Gilliam	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	11	54%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	19	54%	0.03	4	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Vinny Del Negro	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	-0.00	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Dell Curry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	18	39%	-0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	7	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Otis Thorpe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	11	45%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	18	57%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	10	42%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Terry Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	18	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.01	-0.04	12	27%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	26.5	15.6	21.8	1.8	24.0	118.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +7.6%

WAS +3.7%

WAS +15.5%

WAS +21.5%

WAS +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	WAS	NBA	MIL	WAS	NBA
this game	15.3	16.7	15.8	95.6	108.9	99.6
season	15.8	15.5		102.4	98.8
opponent	15.9	16.4		101.3	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.8	17.4	15.6	14.9	15.3
WAS	12.4	17.7	19.6	18.5	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Traylor	29	30	0.07	-0.56	0.63	-0.08	5	-17	22	15.1	15.4	-0.34	17.2	16.4	0.80
Armen Gilliam	42	43	0.02	-0.51	0.53	-0.10	4	-16	20	16.0	14.7	1.34	16.2	17.1	-0.88
Michael Curry	47	45	-0.19	-0.30	0.12	-0.13	-2	-10	8	14.7	16.1	-1.41	18.4	14.9	3.51
Vinny Del Negro	59	60	-0.20	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-10	8	15.5	15.1	0.36	17.6	14.8	2.80
Adonis Jordan	15	14	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.12	-13	1	-14	16.8	15.0	1.76	10.9	17.7	-6.88
Glenn Robinson	69	70	-0.27	-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-8	4	15.4	15.0	0.37	16.8	16.2	0.60
Ray Allen	75	77	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	-0.16	-6	-6	0	14.5	19.5	-5.04	16.2	19.3	-3.09
Dell Curry	34	32	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	-0.03	-11	-1	-10	16.6	14.6	2.06	16.0	17.1	-1.08
Tim Thomas	35	34	-0.42	-0.07	-0.35	-0.04	-13	1	-14	15.6	15.1	0.48	17.5	16.2	1.34
Ervin Johnson	45	45	-0.51	0.02	-0.53	0.02	-18	6	-24	14.9	15.7	-0.80	16.0	17.4	-1.38

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	64	62	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.03	21	-9	30	16.2	17.9	-1.77	15.5	15.0	0.48
Chris Whitney	50	50	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.09	22	-10	32	16.4	17.0	-0.69	15.9	14.6	1.32
Tracy Murray	38	38	0.46	0.03	0.43	-0.10	19	-7	26	16.0	17.2	-1.15	15.2	15.5	-0.30
Juwan Howard	84	83	0.40	0.09	0.31	0.14	9	3	6	16.8	15.2	1.61	15.3	16.3	-1.03
Mitch Richmond	69	69	0.39	0.10	0.29	0.10	10	2	8	15.7	19.9	-4.22	15.3	15.4	-0.12
Calbert Cheaney	38	39	0.12	0.37	-0.25	0.15	-1	13	-14	17.6	16.0	1.67	16.2	14.6	1.58
Otis Thorpe	45	46	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.21	-6	18	-24	17.8	15.6	2.22	14.8	15.9	-1.04
Terry Davis	22	23	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.09	-4	16	-20	18.0	16.2	1.82	15.1	15.4	-0.33
Jeff McInnis	40	40	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.23	-10	22	-32	17.0	16.4	0.69	14.6	15.9	-1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.92,0.91,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 108, OKC 116	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.73,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
SAS 84, NJN 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
CHI 94, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.88,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.89,0.94,1,1	93.7%