NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	94		Excitement	5.8 [664]		MVP	J.R. Smith (CLE): +23.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Comeback	1.6 [1002]		LVP	Aaron Brooks (CHI): -13.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0.20	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.02	0.02	12	86%	0.23	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Joakim Noah	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	13	46%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	12	40%	-0.00	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.04
Jimmy Butler	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.01	-0.05	0.07	14	52%	-0.02	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.14	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	13	57%	0.06	7	-0.20	4	75%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.18	0.04	-0.02	17	71%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	7	69%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	19	59%	0.19	5	-0.13	8	87%	0.04
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.02
Kevin Love	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.01	12	46%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	0.04	17	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.02
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	6	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	3.7	32.3	16.8	29.2	3.5	33.7	142.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +16.1%

CLE +1.0%

CLE +8.2%

CLE +24.3%

CLE +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	14.9	16.0	15.1	101.1	106.5	104.2
season	15.5	15.9		105.4	108.7
opponent	14.9	15.2		104.1	102.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.3	17.0	12.5	16.0	14.9
CLE	17.0	14.9	17.5	14.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Snell	13	13	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.10	-9	4	-13	12.8	15.3	-2.51	14.1	16.4	-2.29
E'Twaun Moore	19	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	0	-5	17.2	14.4	2.81	14.3	16.5	-2.19
Joakim Noah	58	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-8	11	16.4	12.4	4.05	17.7	13.0	4.76
Mike Dunleavy	65	65	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-9	13	14.4	16.0	-1.59	16.0	16.1	-0.09
Pau Gasol	61	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-3	1	13.7	17.3	-3.69	16.3	15.5	0.77
Aaron Brooks	74	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.30	0	-5	5	14.4	17.2	-2.81	16.5	14.3	2.19
Nikola Mirotic	48	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.34	-1	-4	3	15.3	14.5	0.84	14.7	17.5	-2.81
Jimmy Butler	81	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.44	1	-6	7	15.1	13.8	1.25	16.2	15.1	1.10
Taj Gibson	47	45	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.08	-19	14	-33	14.9	14.9	0.02	14.9	17.1	-2.19

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	69	71	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.15	11	-6	17	16.6	14.5	2.02	15.0	14.8	0.14
Iman Shumpert	48	48	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.27	6	-1	7	13.2	19.1	-5.86	14.4	15.5	-1.09
J.R. Smith	84	82	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.42	-2	7	-9	16.5	12.0	4.48	15.2	12.9	2.29
Kyrie Irving	73	73	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	1	3	16.2	15.6	0.56	14.2	17.6	-3.47
Tristan Thompson	50	48	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.24	2	3	-1	15.1	17.2	-2.13	14.7	15.2	-0.53
Kevin Love	61	60	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	0	5	17.7	13.0	4.69	13.5	17.4	-3.87
Timofey Mozgov	54	58	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	-1	7	16.9	14.9	1.97	16.7	12.0	4.64
Matthew Dellavedova	26	25	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.28	-7	12	-19	14.5	16.6	-2.09	16.9	14.2	2.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.88,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.89,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 79, SAS 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.92,0.94,1,1	94.8%
ORL 89, CHA 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.8%
CLE 107, VAN 119	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1	94.8%