NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	84		Excitement	4.7 [846]		MVP	Lucious Harris (NJN): +7.5%
New Jersey Nets	95		Comeback	1.8 [575]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -12.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Perdue	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	4	90%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Reggie Geary	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	1	125%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Monty Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Carl Herrera	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	52%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Jaren Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	9	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	12	43%	-0.05	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.01
Chuck Person	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	0.02	17	59%	0.05	7	-0.17	7	57%	-0.03

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	3	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	7	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	11	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Xavier McDaniel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jack Haley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	12	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	7	31%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	0.03	20	43%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.16	0.00	-0.05	30	33%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.6	25.2	15.3	27.5	2.5	25.4	120.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS -3.1%

SAS -2.2%

NJN +17.5%

NJN +35.3%

NJN +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	NJN	NBA	SAS	NJN	NBA
this game	14.6	18.2	15.6	94.4	109.2	102.5
season	15.9	15.6		100.9	104.9
opponent	15.2	15.9		103.9	97.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.6	16.9	14.3	13.6	14.6
NJN	17.7	19.3	17.8	18.3	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaren Jackson	39	38	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.14	5	-16	21	15.3	14.0	1.33	17.8	18.5	-0.74
Carl Herrera	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-17	23	11.0	14.7	-3.73	6.5	18.8	-12.27
Cory Alexander	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-15	19	11.7	14.8	-3.09	14.0	18.6	-4.63
Will Perdue	15	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.23	7	-18	25	11.7	15.1	-3.40	15.5	18.8	-3.32
Reggie Geary	16	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-13	15	13.7	14.7	-0.99	17.8	18.3	-0.49
Sean Elliott	28	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-7	3	13.1	15.2	-2.12	19.7	17.4	2.28
Monty Williams	32	31	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	-3	-5	14.7	14.5	0.20	17.7	18.5	-0.82
David Robinson	69	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-1	-9	15.2	12.2	2.98	19.2	15.0	4.16
Chuck Person	38	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-3	-5	15.8	13.6	2.14	17.4	18.7	-1.35
Tim Duncan	81	79	-0.47	-0.04	-0.43	0.00	-16	5	-21	14.6	14.5	0.07	18.5	15.2	3.26
Avery Johnson	66	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.03	-17	6	-23	15.1	13.1	1.93	18.8	16.5	2.35
Vinny Del Negro	50	49	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.04	-16	5	-21	14.0	15.3	-1.33	18.5	17.8	0.74

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sherman Douglas	31	33	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.03	21	-10	31	18.7	17.9	0.78	14.9	14.3	0.60
Keith Van Horn	78	80	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.06	20	-9	29	18.8	13.2	5.56	14.4	15.9	-1.48
David Benoit	38	40	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	-3	17	18.8	17.7	1.08	15.9	13.4	2.48
Jayson Williams	60	61	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	4	3	18.8	16.8	2.02	15.2	13.2	2.02
Kerry Kittles	65	66	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.04	8	3	5	18.8	16.3	2.53	14.3	15.3	-1.06
Lucious Harris	22	23	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	8	-5	16.3	18.8	-2.53	15.3	14.3	1.06
Michael Cage	23	24	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.10	10	1	9	18.6	18.1	0.55	13.5	14.9	-1.40
Kendall Gill	54	54	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.19	-6	17	-23	17.8	18.8	-1.03	14.0	15.4	-1.33
Xavier McDaniel	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	17	-23	6.5	18.8	-12.27	11.0	14.7	-3.73
Jack Haley	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	17	-23	6.5	18.8	-12.27	11.0	14.7	-3.73
Sam Cassell	56	56	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.21	-10	21	-31	17.9	18.7	-0.78	14.3	14.9	-0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 76, CHA 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
UTA 96, CHI 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.6%
NJN 98, MIA 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%