NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	96		Excitement	4.4 [913]		MVP	Drew Gooden (CHI): +11.7%
Chicago Bulls	108		Comeback	2.0 [320]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): -15.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	7	75%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.03	6	61%	0.05	0	0.00	11	73%	-0.02
Ronnie Price	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	15	58%	0.09	5	-0.09	8	75%	-0.00
Jason Hart	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	9	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Deron Williams	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	14	53%	0.06	6	-0.13	10	80%	0.01
Matt Harpring	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	4	40%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	14	31%	-0.09	3	-0.07	4	0%	-0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.02	0.03	18	63%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	5	92%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	10	59%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.02	-0.05	9	52%	0.10	2	-0.02	9	67%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	14	66%	0.10	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	41%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	12	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	4	20%	-0.04	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.8	27.1	15.7	28.0	1.8	29.4	129.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +30.4%

UTA -2.2%

CHI +1.3%

CHI +17.8%

CHI +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CHI	NBA	UTA	CHI	NBA
this game	15.6	14.3	15.4	100.0	111.3	105.7
season	15.5	15.0		111.2	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.0		105.4	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.6	16.6	15.2	14.9	15.6
CHI	11.6	14.7	14.1	17.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Hart	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-12	12	20.0	15.5	4.46	12.5	14.3	-1.81
Jarron Collins	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-12	12	20.0	15.5	4.46	12.5	14.3	-1.81
CJ Miles	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-12	12	20.0	15.5	4.46	12.5	14.3	-1.81
Andrei Kirilenko	62	64	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.14	3	-15	18	14.4	17.8	-3.47	13.6	15.5	-1.89
Ronnie Price	9	10	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	-2	-8	19.3	15.2	4.14	12.2	14.5	-2.31
Ronnie Brewer	73	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-6	0	14.8	18.0	-3.18	13.5	16.7	-3.30
Carlos Boozer	76	77	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	-9	6	14.9	18.3	-3.49	13.8	16.1	-2.31
Kyle Korver	22	22	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-6	0	17.9	14.9	3.02	17.1	13.4	3.71
Deron Williams	87	87	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-10	8	15.2	19.3	-4.14	14.5	12.2	2.31
Mehmet Okur	80	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	-5	-2	15.4	16.3	-0.87	14.5	13.3	1.18
Paul Millsap	35	35	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.02	-14	2	-16	17.4	14.6	2.81	14.9	13.9	1.06
Matt Harpring	33	31	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.00	-15	3	-18	17.8	14.4	3.31	15.7	13.6	2.12

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	63	62	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	1	10	14.9	13.1	1.86	15.8	15.1	0.68
Thabo Sefolosha	26	26	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.13	17	-5	22	13.8	14.4	-0.58	17.8	14.7	3.10
Andres Nocioni	32	30	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	1	10	15.6	13.6	2.02	16.9	15.0	1.87
Drew Gooden	87	87	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.13	8	4	4	14.2	14.7	-0.48	15.7	14.1	1.62
Tyrus Thomas	38	37	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.01	12	0	12	14.2	14.3	-0.09	16.2	15.2	1.03
Kirk Hinrich	65	65	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.15	3	9	-6	14.7	13.4	1.33	15.1	16.6	-1.52
Aaron Gray	17	17	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	6	0	16.1	13.9	2.24	14.6	15.8	-1.14
Luol Deng	72	72	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	14	-16	14.2	14.4	-0.23	15.2	16.7	-1.56
Joakim Noah	45	45	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	11	-10	12.8	15.5	-2.66	14.9	16.2	-1.31
Larry Hughes	40	39	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.19	-7	19	-26	12.8	15.3	-2.50	14.5	16.3	-1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 98, MIA 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
SAS 84, NJN 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
ORL 73, IND 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.83,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%