NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	98		Excitement	3.6 [1099]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): +17.2%
Miami Heat	116		Comeback	1.7 [923]		LVP	Nenad Krstic (NJN): -6.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	17	51%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	7	69%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Travis Best	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	61%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	3	87%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Zoran Planinic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Vince Carter	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.01	21	53%	0.03	3	-0.04	9	89%	0.03
Jason Collins	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	9	46%	-0.04	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.04	-0.01	18	71%	0.17	2	-0.00	9	89%	0.03
Damon Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.29	0.00	0.15	12	107%	0.16	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	9	48%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	58%	-0.00	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.02
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	13	49%	-0.02	1	-0.01	9	33%	-0.06
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.8	35.2	18.3	31.9	2.7	35.3	154.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +38.5%

MIA +4.0%

MIA +5.1%

MIA +1.3%

MIA +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIA	NBA	NJN	MIA	NBA
this game	15.9	16.7	15.5	110.1	131.8	104.0
season	16.0	15.7		99.2	107.9
opponent	15.5	15.6		101.1	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.4	17.3	16.5	14.3	15.9
MIA	17.3	14.0	17.0	18.4	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zoran Planinic	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-16	14	14.0	15.9	-1.91	17.0	16.7	0.34
Jabari Smith	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-16	14	14.0	15.9	-1.91	17.0	16.7	0.34
Rodney Buford	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-16	14	14.0	15.9	-1.91	17.0	16.7	0.34
Billy Thomas	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-16	14	14.0	15.9	-1.91	17.0	16.7	0.34
Brian Scalabrine	45	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-16	14	16.9	14.8	2.07	16.9	16.4	0.53
Jason Collins	44	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-13	8	16.8	15.0	1.75	16.6	16.7	-0.05
Richard Jefferson	44	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	-10	2	15.3	16.4	-1.13	16.5	16.8	-0.24
Nenad Krstic	60	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	-11	4	16.1	15.4	0.75	16.9	16.1	0.81
Clifford Robinson	37	36	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.21	-19	1	-20	15.2	16.4	-1.15	15.7	17.3	-1.68
Travis Best	50	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-4	-10	15.1	16.9	-1.75	16.3	17.1	-0.78
Jason Kidd	79	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	-5	-8	15.8	16.7	-0.92	16.8	15.4	1.35
Vince Carter	82	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	-4	-10	15.9	15.3	0.65	16.9	13.9	3.04

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	73	73	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	7	4	16.9	15.3	1.60	15.9	15.9	-0.06
Shandon Anderson	35	36	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.17	17	1	16	15.9	17.2	-1.24	14.4	16.9	-2.56
Udonis Haslem	63	64	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.08	14	4	10	17.1	15.6	1.42	15.6	16.6	-0.99
Eddie Jones	60	62	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	8	2	17.3	15.2	2.12	16.7	14.0	2.76
Shaquille O'Neal	58	57	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	10	-2	17.4	15.3	2.11	16.4	15.1	1.29
Damon Jones	68	69	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	11	-4	17.1	15.0	2.15	16.0	15.6	0.37
Keyon Dooling	24	25	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	8	2	15.3	17.2	-1.88	15.4	16.1	-0.62
Alonzo Mourning	25	26	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	13	-8	14.9	17.4	-2.49	15.4	16.1	-0.71
Christian Laettner	23	23	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	12	-6	15.3	17.2	-1.89	17.3	15.4	1.91
Rasual Butler	11	10	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	16	-14	14.4	17.0	-2.62	14.0	16.1	-2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 96, CHI 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.7%
UTA 69, HOU 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.8,0.87,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
MIN 93, CHA 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.91,0.95,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%