NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	108		Excitement	5.2 [789]		MVP	Paul George (OKC): +39.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	116		Comeback	2.4 [718]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -7.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.02	0.02	22	59%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jae Crowder	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	54%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Dante Exum	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	6	71%	0.12	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Joe Ingles	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	9	72%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.12	0.00	0.12	4	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	64%	0.07	3	-0.07	6	33%	-0.06
Royce O'Neale	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jonas Jerebko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	7	47%	0.00	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	-0.02	-0.08	18	33%	-0.00	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.25	0.11	-0.04	20	86%	0.47	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	7	79%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	3	87%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Terrance Ferguson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	13	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	25	49%	0.06	5	-0.13	9	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.4	27.7	16.4	30.7	2.8	37.6	142.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +31.3%

OKC +4.4%

OKC +12.5%

OKC +1.0%

OKC +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	OKC	NBA	UTA	OKC	NBA
this game	14.4	13.5	14.7	103.8	113.7	107.5
season	15.1	14.2		106.6	109.4
opponent	15.3	14.6		106.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.5	13.9	15.1	14.2	14.4
OKC	13.7	12.7	13.1	14.6	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alec Burks	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-13	18	6.6	15.1	-8.46	9.0	13.9	-4.90
Raul Neto	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-13	18	6.6	15.1	-8.46	9.0	13.9	-4.90
Ekpe Udoh	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-13	18	6.6	15.1	-8.46	9.0	13.9	-4.90
Jonas Jerebko	7	7	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-1	-6	21.3	13.9	7.35	10.4	13.7	-3.32
Ricky Rubio	66	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	-6	4	14.7	14.0	0.64	14.1	12.6	1.50
Derrick Favors	65	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.12	-12	4	-16	15.2	13.1	2.17	13.1	14.2	-1.02
Donovan Mitchell	76	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	1	-10	14.4	14.5	-0.04	13.6	13.2	0.45
Joe Ingles	63	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-2	-4	16.1	11.8	4.30	14.8	11.5	3.32
Rudy Gobert	73	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.15	-5	-3	-2	15.3	12.3	3.05	14.4	11.6	2.74
Dante Exum	39	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.29	-1	-7	6	14.0	14.7	-0.73	13.0	13.8	-0.77
Royce O'Neale	46	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	1	-10	13.8	15.0	-1.20	13.3	13.7	-0.38
Jae Crowder	61	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.35	-4	-4	0	13.6	15.7	-2.08	13.5	13.6	-0.09

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	78	79	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	5	-2	14.1	11.8	2.26	14.9	13.1	1.78
Alex Abrines	44	46	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.03	14	-6	20	13.6	13.4	0.17	15.1	13.9	1.21
Jerami Grant	27	29	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	-4	16	14.1	13.3	0.85	16.8	13.5	3.27
Carmelo Anthony	83	84	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	7	-6	13.0	15.7	-2.72	13.6	17.8	-4.23
Russell Westbrook	82	82	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.30	-1	9	-10	13.4	13.9	-0.54	13.8	16.6	-2.79
Raymond Felton	24	26	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	-1	10	12.9	13.7	-0.84	15.1	14.2	0.86
Patrick Patterson	14	15	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.00	6	2	4	15.4	13.2	2.13	17.5	13.9	3.62
Steven Adams	80	80	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.29	-4	12	-16	13.5	13.5	-0.03	13.8	16.4	-2.52
Corey Brewer	73	74	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.25	-3	11	-14	13.3	14.0	-0.67	13.8	16.1	-2.34
Terrance Ferguson	5	5	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	5	-2	12.0	13.6	-1.60	17.8	14.3	3.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.73,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 89, CHA 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%
MIL 86, WAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.92,0.91,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
DAL 81, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%