NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	89		Excitement	6.9 [251]		MVP	Jason Williams (SAC): +9.8%
Sacramento Kings	94		Comeback	1.9 [597]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -22.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hubert Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	11	77%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	19	45%	0.04	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Hot Rod Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Shawn Bradley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	9	38%	-0.01	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
A.C. Green	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	16	36%	-0.06	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Samaki Walker	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	8	40%	-0.07	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Michael Finley	-0.22	0,0,0.02,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.16,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22	-0.16	-0.06	0.01	19	41%	-0.11	5	-0.11	6	50%	-0.07

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.06	-0.01	11	57%	0.13	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.01	8	55%	0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	4	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.04	0.00	8	67%	0.09	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	13	53%	0.06	2	-0.06	8	25%	-0.06
Michael Hawkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.04	3	-0.09	4	25%	-0.06
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	0.01	-0.05	9	37%	-0.02	3	-0.05	6	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	24.1	15.3	27.4	2.5	37.6	131.5
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +57.6%

DAL -7.9%

DAL -16.2%

SAC +9.6%

SAC +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAC	NBA	DAL	SAC	NBA
this game	16.0	14.8	15.8	94.7	101.1	99.6
season	15.9	14.1		99.7	100.1
opponent	15.5	15.6		100.9	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.4	16.5	16.1	15.0	16.0
SAC	13.0	13.0	15.9	17.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hot Rod Williams	20	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-2	-1	16.3	15.9	0.43	12.2	15.5	-3.29
Shawn Bradley	38	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.21	3	-8	11	16.3	15.8	0.42	16.9	13.4	3.59
A.C. Green	59	58	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.33	6	-11	17	16.4	15.4	0.93	15.5	13.7	1.81
Dirk Nowitzki	25	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-2	-1	15.2	16.3	-1.10	14.4	14.9	-0.52
Steve Nash	53	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-6	7	15.4	16.8	-1.45	13.0	17.0	-4.00
Robert Pack	16	17	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.09	-10	5	-15	17.4	15.7	1.64	12.8	15.2	-2.40
Michael Finley	82	82	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-7	9	16.3	14.2	2.11	15.2	11.5	3.78
Gary Trent	89	86	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-6	7	15.8	20.2	-4.42	14.9	13.0	1.93
Samaki Walker	38	40	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	7	-19	16.7	15.6	1.09	14.7	14.8	-0.06
Hubert Davis	50	51	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.28	-10	5	-15	15.4	16.7	-1.30	15.2	14.3	0.82

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vernon Maxwell	57	56	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.28	12	-7	19	14.5	15.3	-0.85	16.1	15.8	0.33
Chris Webber	80	81	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.32	9	-4	13	14.3	17.8	-3.56	16.1	15.3	0.82
Jason Williams	63	64	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.33	4	1	3	14.8	14.7	0.17	15.3	17.6	-2.33
Corliss Williamson	61	62	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.26	6	-1	7	15.3	13.8	1.43	15.5	17.1	-1.59
Lawrence Funderburke	38	37	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.09	4	1	3	15.1	14.6	0.54	16.2	15.9	0.29
Vlade Divac	64	66	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.20	0	5	-5	15.8	12.5	3.35	16.3	15.4	0.88
Jon Barry	30	30	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	4	-3	14.7	14.8	-0.17	17.6	15.3	2.33
Peja Stojakovic	30	30	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	4	-3	14.7	14.8	-0.17	17.6	15.3	2.33
Michael Hawkins	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	7	-9	1.5	15.1	-13.58	9.0	16.2	-7.16
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	40	42	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.17	-10	15	-25	14.3	15.2	-0.89	15.0	16.8	-1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 92, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.96,0.96,0.99,1	94.7%
CHI 71, MEM 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.99,1,1	94.1%
ATL 78, DAL 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.89,0.9,1,1	93.9%