NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	71		Excitement	5.8 [623]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (CHI): +10.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	80		Comeback	2.4 [811]		LVP	Luol Deng (CHI): -29.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	4	80%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Taj Gibson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	4	40%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	61%	0.06	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	12	46%	-0.03	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	0.02	17	42%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Kirk Hinrich	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.07	-0.03	8	25%	-0.10	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.18	-0.12	-0.02	17	27%	-0.19	3	-0.10	6	50%	-0.05

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.05	0.01	12	59%	0.12	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.03	0.00	7	79%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	6	43%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	6	43%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	14	33%	-0.02	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	7	25%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	13	40%	-0.03	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	25.0	15.5	24.6	2.4	37.6	129.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +37.9%

CHI -1.3%

MEM +18.6%

CHI -7.4%

MEM +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MEM	NBA	CHI	MEM	NBA
this game	16.3	15.8	15.4	79.8	88.9	104.1
season	16.6	16.5		101.7	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.2		99.1	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.2	17.7	18.7	14.9	16.3
MEM	17.1	15.0	14.0	17.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Robinson	31	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-6	3	16.6	16.2	0.37	18.1	14.8	3.38
Carlos Boozer	66	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-10	11	15.9	17.7	-1.77	15.3	17.1	-1.79
Marco Belinelli	76	76	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.19	-1	-8	7	16.0	18.4	-2.40	16.2	14.1	2.10
Luol Deng	74	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.19	-5	-4	-1	16.3	16.7	-0.48	15.2	18.6	-3.38
Joakim Noah	78	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.23	-5	-4	-1	16.1	17.7	-1.59	15.8	15.8	0.05
Kirk Hinrich	58	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.24	-6	-3	-3	16.2	16.6	-0.37	14.8	18.1	-3.38
Jimmy Butler	28	30	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	3	-15	17.5	15.8	1.70	16.5	15.5	0.98
Taj Gibson	34	36	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	5	-19	17.7	15.5	2.17	16.7	15.2	1.51

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Pondexter	35	37	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.04	14	-5	19	17.2	15.0	2.22	17.5	15.5	2.01
Wayne Ellington	36	35	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	-4	17	17.2	14.9	2.25	17.4	15.6	1.75
Marreese Speights	29	29	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.03	9	0	9	16.9	15.4	1.50	17.1	16.0	1.09
Marc Gasol	71	71	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	4	1	15.2	18.2	-2.93	16.1	17.2	-1.11
Jerryd Bayless	27	27	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.01	10	-1	11	18.2	14.8	3.40	17.3	15.9	1.43
Darrell Arthur	18	17	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	4	1	17.4	15.4	2.00	18.2	15.9	2.27
Mike Conley	63	62	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.24	-1	10	-11	14.8	18.2	-3.40	15.9	17.3	-1.43
Zach Randolph	62	61	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.22	-1	10	-11	15.6	16.4	-0.74	15.7	17.6	-1.91
Rudy Gay	58	57	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.21	-3	12	-15	15.0	17.4	-2.42	15.3	18.2	-2.94
Tony Allen	51	49	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.20	-6	15	-21	14.9	17.0	-2.08	15.9	16.8	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 89, SAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.99,1	94.1%
MIN 92, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.96,0.96,0.99,1	94.0%
ATL 80, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.9%