NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	80		Excitement	5.5 [709]		MVP	Damon Jones (MIL): +7.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	94		Comeback	2.0 [801]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (ATL): -16.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bob Sura	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	11	48%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Josh Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	7	61%	0.01	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	5	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.08
Chris Crawford	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	18	45%	-0.04	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	19	45%	-0.03	4	-0.12	6	50%	-0.02
Stephen Jackson	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.05	12	38%	-0.01	5	-0.15	5	80%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	-0.00	8	56%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	7	57%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Michael Redd	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	18	52%	0.04	1	-0.04	8	75%	-0.00
Erick Strickland	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	4	20%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	9	45%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	14	55%	0.00	2	-0.06	14	93%	0.06
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	8	39%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	2.3	28.6	15.7	25.5	1.8	31.4	134.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +8.0%

MIL +13.4%

MIL +0.1%

MIL +23.9%

MIL +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIL	NBA	ATL	MIL	NBA
this game	14.9	15.6	15.7	85.1	98.9	100.5
season	15.3	15.3		98.2	103.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.3	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.9	16.7	13.0	16.3	14.9
MIL	16.1	15.3	14.7	16.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	27	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-14	14	14.4	15.0	-0.67	16.3	15.4	0.89
Josh Davis	17	19	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	-8	2	15.4	14.7	0.68	13.9	16.1	-2.16
Jacque Vaughn	16	16	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	-5	-4	17.6	14.3	3.27	16.2	15.5	0.76
Boris Diaw	60	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-8	2	14.4	15.7	-1.34	15.5	15.9	-0.45
Bob Sura	56	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-7	0	15.7	13.6	2.18	15.9	15.3	0.62
Jason Collier	63	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-5	-4	15.0	14.5	0.55	15.6	15.7	-0.10
Jason Terry	82	83	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-5	-4	14.4	17.8	-3.42	15.5	16.4	-0.91
Stephen Jackson	64	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.08	-12	-2	-10	14.3	16.1	-1.83	16.2	14.5	1.64
Chris Crawford	85	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	-2	-10	14.9	14.7	0.20	15.4	18.0	-2.63

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toni Kukoc	52	51	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.05	22	-8	30	15.4	15.9	-0.44	15.8	13.7	2.04
Desmond Mason	45	44	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	-2	18	15.9	15.4	0.47	16.5	13.4	3.10
Michael Redd	76	77	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.00	14	0	14	14.9	18.5	-3.57	14.1	18.2	-4.13
Keith Van Horn	78	77	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.00	12	2	10	15.3	16.9	-1.54	14.4	17.1	-2.70
Damon Jones	57	57	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	6	2	15.4	16.0	-0.59	13.9	16.4	-2.47
Brevin Knight	38	37	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.01	6	8	-2	16.0	15.4	0.59	16.4	13.9	2.47
Erick Strickland	15	13	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.07	2	12	-10	16.8	15.4	1.40	18.5	14.3	4.19
Joe Smith	50	50	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	16	-18	15.4	15.9	-0.47	13.4	16.5	-3.10
Dan Gadzuric	26	25	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.14	-5	19	-24	17.6	14.9	2.69	16.9	14.1	2.82
Brian Skinner	38	39	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	17	-20	16.1	15.3	0.76	13.5	15.8	-2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 90, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.79,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.4%
DET 88, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%
DAL 76, PHX 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.71,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%