inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 76 Excitement5.0 [799] MVPKevin Johnson (PHX): +19.1%
Phoenix Suns 101 Comeback2.1 [1132] LVPDerek Harper (DAL): -17.7%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Martin Muursepp0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
A.C. Green-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.011054%-0.0000.00475%-0.01
Samaki Walker-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Greg Dreiling-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.01329%-0.0200.0010%-0.02
Ed O'Bannon-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Michael Finley-0.040,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.012349%-0.011-0.03757%-0.02
Jamie Watson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.02-0.05650%0.014-0.0500%0.00
Erick Strickland-0.110,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.12-0.02-0.04739%-0.014-0.09475%0.00
Shawn Bradley-0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.13-0.04-0.021432%-0.121-0.03683%0.03
Derek Harper-0.180,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.10-0.09-0.021046%-0.124-0.0640%-0.09

Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.100.06-0.031182%0.253-0.06683%-0.00
Wayman Tisdale0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.001060%0.072-0.0400%0.00
Rex Chapman0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.07-0.010.051656%0.0200.002100%0.00
Horacio Llamas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01260%0.0000.001100%0.00
Mark Bryant00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ben Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.010100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Steve Nash0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Danny Manning0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.010.021065%0.063-0.083100%0.02
Hot Rod Williams0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.01557%-0.001-0.034100%0.01
Cedric Ceballos0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01839%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Wesley Person0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.05-0.00844%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Jason Kidd0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.02725%-0.061-0.032100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.42.023.115.724.32.430.2120.1
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHX +45.8%
PHX +8.8%
DAL -3.1%
DAL -0.3%
DAL -1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALPHXNBADALPHXNBA
this game17.016.115.687.4116.1104.4
season15.914.699.1106.8
opponent15.615.7106.5105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL13.518.718.617.817.0
PHX15.312.618.319.116.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Martin Muursepp340.06-0.560.610.20-5-201511.717.2-5.519.216.4-7.20
Greg Dreiling10100.03-0.530.560.15-4-211713.917.4-3.4912.816.5-3.75
Samaki Walker1315-0.07-0.430.350.02-3-221920.516.44.0819.915.34.53
Ed O'Bannon1110-0.13-0.370.230.19-11-14317.516.90.648.017.2-9.17
Michael Finley7171-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.04-9-16716.518.9-2.3917.211.25.96
Derek Harper7676-0.34-0.16-0.190.01-12-13116.917.5-0.6417.28.98.25
Jamie Watson4543-0.38-0.12-0.260.15-18-7-1118.415.52.9715.017.2-2.25
Erick Strickland5860-0.39-0.11-0.290.34-250-2516.418.1-1.7215.717.0-1.34
Shawn Bradley7271-0.41-0.09-0.320.00-14-11-317.116.60.4716.414.81.60
A.C. Green7675-0.550.05-0.590.16-24-1-2316.917.4-0.4315.917.7-1.80

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hot Rod Williams74730.64-0.140.79-0.062412316.613.23.3917.315.51.77
Kevin Johnson66650.450.050.40-0.05178917.312.34.9816.717.9-1.23
Rex Chapman54530.440.060.38-0.091871117.014.62.4316.517.7-1.13
Wayman Tisdale41430.410.090.320.031312116.216.00.1519.015.03.93
Jason Kidd63630.290.210.08-0.302051516.315.50.7917.914.53.38
Wesley Person50510.250.25-0.01-0.191510514.718.0-3.2817.616.11.50
Danny Manning48470.060.44-0.38-0.12619-1316.315.90.3515.219.1-3.91
Cedric Ceballos26260.020.48-0.470.02025-2514.216.9-2.7415.817.5-1.68
Horacio Llamas330.000.50-0.50-0.15520-157.716.4-8.7511.717.2-5.51
Ben Davis330.000.50-0.50-0.15520-157.716.4-8.7511.717.2-5.51
Steve Nash330.000.50-0.50-0.15520-157.716.4-8.7511.717.2-5.51
Mark Bryant45-0.060.56-0.620.03-328-3117.216.11.1919.016.92.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.71,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 86, LAC 1030.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,195.1%
BOS 77, DET 930.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.71,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,194.8%
ORL 100, MIN 1130.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.79,0.92,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.7%