NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	78		Excitement	6.6 [505]		MVP	Josh Howard (DAL): +24.6%
Dallas Mavericks	87		Comeback	2.2 [828]		LVP	Erick Dampier (DAL): -14.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	3	78%	0.03	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Esteban Batista	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Edwards	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Zaza Pachulia	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	16	49%	0.00	2	-0.06	11	64%	-0.05
Salim Stoudamire	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	6	31%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	17	49%	0.01	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.05
Marvin Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	17	41%	-0.06	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.04

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.21	0.04	0.01	13	83%	0.25	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.08	-0.03	9	50%	0.13	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.01	10	58%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.01	-0.02	17	32%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	21	44%	-0.02	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	19%	-0.05	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.16	-0.02	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04	6	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.7	26.9	16.0	28.2	2.6	36.2	133.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +30.9%

DAL +10.9%

ATL -2.2%

DAL +9.1%

DAL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DAL	NBA	ATL	DAL	NBA
this game	15.9	16.1	15.6	86.7	96.7	104.4
season	15.6	16.4		103.9	109.0
opponent	15.6	15.5		102.9	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.5	15.3	17.4	15.4	15.9
DAL	16.4	14.0	16.9	17.3	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Edwards	11	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-8	7	16.8	15.8	1.06	11.8	16.8	-4.94
Esteban Batista	6	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	-5	1	16.2	15.9	0.30	10.6	16.6	-6.01
Marvin Williams	35	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-6	3	14.9	16.5	-1.64	17.4	15.3	2.13
Tyronn Lue	41	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.15	-1	-8	7	17.3	14.7	2.53	15.0	17.1	-2.13
Salim Stoudamire	28	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-3	-3	16.1	15.8	0.26	15.3	16.5	-1.16
Josh Childress	36	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-2	-5	14.9	16.6	-1.71	16.8	15.6	1.20
Al Harrington	80	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-8	7	16.2	13.5	2.69	17.0	10.6	6.38
Joe Johnson	75	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-5	1	15.6	17.5	-1.97	16.5	13.9	2.58
Zaza Pachulia	79	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.22	-8	-1	-7	15.8	16.8	-1.06	16.8	11.8	4.94
Josh Smith	59	58	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.22	-10	1	-11	16.1	15.6	0.47	15.1	18.0	-2.93

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Daniels	74	75	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-3	15	16.3	15.4	0.90	15.7	16.8	-1.09
Josh Howard	77	78	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.22	11	-2	13	15.9	17.5	-1.58	15.7	17.1	-1.38
DeSagana Diop	40	42	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	-3	15	14.5	17.4	-2.95	15.6	16.1	-0.51
Dirk Nowitzki	72	72	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	5	-1	16.9	12.9	3.96	15.3	18.2	-2.85
Jason Terry	65	64	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	6	-3	16.3	15.5	0.82	15.6	16.5	-0.91
Devin Harris	37	36	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	4	1	15.7	16.4	-0.69	16.5	15.5	1.02
Keith Van Horn	47	45	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	9	-9	15.5	16.8	-1.30	17.8	14.0	3.82
Erick Dampier	38	38	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	11	-13	17.3	15.3	1.99	15.6	16.1	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.89,0.9,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 95, PHX 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.89,0.94,0.99,1	94.2%
CHA 95, MEM 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.71,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.99,1	94.2%
PHI 81, CHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	94.1%