NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	95		Excitement	6.1 [548]		MVP	Rex Chapman (PHX): +8.7%
Phoenix Suns	103		Comeback	1.9 [791]		LVP	Antonio McDyess (PHX): -10.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	24	63%	0.16	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	9	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	80%	0.10	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.04
Jamie Feick	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	15	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	13	38%	-0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rex Chapman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	15	62%	0.14	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.05	-0.02	9	70%	0.14	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	57%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	11	59%	0.08	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	16	55%	0.06	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	12	50%	-0.03	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	1.8	25.2	15.7	26.4	2.6	29.2	121.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +13.3%

PHX +10.8%

PHX +20.5%

PHX +3.6%

PHX +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHX	NBA	MIL	PHX	NBA
this game	16.0	14.7	15.6	101.1	109.6	102.5
season	16.0	15.0		101.1	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.1		100.0	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.0	16.3	16.2	14.4	16.0
PHX	15.1	13.0	14.4	16.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Armen Gilliam	20	20	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-8	8	17.6	15.5	2.07	14.6	14.7	-0.09
Michael Curry	28	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-5	2	17.0	15.5	1.52	14.1	14.9	-0.75
Jamie Feick	23	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-6	4	15.7	16.1	-0.36	15.5	14.4	1.02
Elliot Perry	35	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-6	4	15.2	16.4	-1.18	15.3	14.3	0.94
Ervin Johnson	72	73	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.23	0	-8	8	16.0	15.9	0.08	14.6	15.0	-0.42
Ray Allen	76	76	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-8	8	15.9	16.1	-0.18	14.6	15.1	-0.48
Terrell Brandon	69	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.15	-11	3	-14	16.0	15.8	0.23	14.7	14.6	0.04
Tyrone Hill	71	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	2	-12	15.5	17.3	-1.77	14.5	15.1	-0.55
Glenn Robinson	76	75	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.24	-12	4	-16	15.9	16.1	-0.18	14.7	14.6	0.05

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rex Chapman	62	62	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.23	7	1	6	14.9	14.2	0.78	16.2	15.6	0.57
Kevin Johnson	65	67	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.23	7	1	6	14.6	14.8	-0.13	16.1	15.6	0.53
Jason Kidd	85	84	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.21	7	1	6	14.8	13.8	0.99	16.3	13.1	3.21
Danny Manning	47	46	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.20	6	2	4	15.5	13.8	1.68	15.5	16.4	-0.96
Steve Nash	41	42	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.09	9	-1	10	13.9	15.3	-1.40	15.5	16.3	-0.80
Antonio McDyess	58	59	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.21	3	5	-2	14.4	15.1	-0.76	15.6	16.6	-0.96
Hot Rod Williams	44	43	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	3	2	14.7	14.6	0.11	15.9	16.0	-0.16
Clifford Robinson	68	67	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.12	-4	12	-16	14.5	15.2	-0.77	16.2	15.4	0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.89,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 78, DAL 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.89,0.9,1,1	94.2%
WAS 92, DET 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1	94.1%
LAC 108, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	93.9%